Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

376
FXUS62 KTBW 230713
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
313 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2019

.DISCUSSION...
A mid level shortwave trough rotating through the southeastern US
is pushing a surface cold front into Florida this morning. The
front is expected to stall out across central Florida today,
allowing cooler and drier air to filter into the area, although
the difference will be minimal over southwest Florida. As the
shortwave lifts northeast and away from the area, the front will
retreat back north this afternoon and evening, allowing the humid
airmass to return to the area with dew points holding in the low
to mid 70s through early next week.

With this warm and moist air mass holding across the area,
isolated to scattered showers or storms will be possible each
day Thursday through next Tuesday, mainly during the afternoon and
early evening. Temperatures will run several degrees above
normal, with highs in the mid to upper 80s and lows in the upper
60s to mid 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...
Some patchy fog will be possible through around sunrise mainly
over southwest Florida, with periods of MVFR-LIFR conditions
possible. VFR conditions should then take hold across the area by
mid morning. A few showers will be possible over southwest
Florida during the late afternoon and evening hours.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure building in north of Florida today in the wake of a
cold front is setting up breezy north to northeast winds, with
exercise caution level winds continuing through around mid
morning. Winds will subside slightly and turn to easterly today,
but nocturnal surges will bring wind speeds back up to cautionary
levels each evening through the rest of the week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Relative humidity will remain above critical levels through the
next several days.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  82  69  87  73 /  10   0  30  10
FMY  87  73  89  74 /  20  10  20  10
GIF  83  70  87  73 /  10   0  40  10
SRQ  85  71  89  73 /  10   0  20  10
BKV  81  66  87  70 /  10   0  40  10
SPG  84  72  88  74 /  10   0  20  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...18/Fleming
UPPER AIR...99
DECISION SUPPORT...99



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.