Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 210132
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
832 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

.UPDATE...
A cold front will move across the region tonight and early Friday
accompanied by low clouds and a few showers and bringing an end
to our stretch of warm and somewhat humid weather this week.
Breezy northerly winds behind the boundary will usher in much
cooler drier air Friday with temperatures about 15 to 25 degrees
colder than today. The clouds will linger through much of the day
in the cold advection pattern, but we should begin to see some
breaks of sun return during the afternoon across the Nature Coast
and eventually into the central Florida peninsula. Clouds will
clear out Friday night as the flow becomes more northeasterly with
temperatures dipping into the 30s across the Nature Coast and
mostly 40s elsewhere. Winds will be slow to subside during the
night though so not expecting to see any frost across the Nature
Coast, but will have wind chill values fall into the upper 20s and
lower 30s across the Nature Coast, and mid 30s to lower 40s
elsewhere. Saturday should remain mostly sunny and cool with highs
only climbing into the mid 60s north to lower 70s south.

&&

.AVIATION...
IFR ceilings are expected to develop from north to south tonight
as a cold front moves southward across the region. These ceilings
will gradually improve from north to south during the late
morning and afternoon hours Friday. A few showers will also be
possible which could bring some brief MVFR visibilities. Westerly
winds around 5 knots early tonight will shift to northerly at 10
to 15 knots and gusty behind the boundary late tonight and Friday.

.MARINE...
A cold front will move across the coastal waters tonight and
early Friday followed by robust north to northeast winds into
Saturday. Small Craft Advisories are out for late tonight into
Friday night for the coastal waters and may need to be extended
into early Saturday. Will update now to include Tampa Bay and
Charlotte Harbor in the SCA for Friday and Friday night. Winds
and seas will diminish for Sunday, but then increase once again
early next week s high pressure moves out into the western
Atlantic Ocean and the next storm system moves into the eastern
states.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  53  62  43  70 /  30  10   0   0
FMY  63  71  48  72 /  10  20   0   0
GIF  53  60  45  69 /  40  20   0   0
SRQ  56  66  46  72 /  20  10   0   0
BKV  48  60  38  69 /  40  10   0   0
SPG  55  63  45  70 /  20  10   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Friday to 4 AM EST
     Saturday for Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs
     FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee
     River FL out 20 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL
     out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River
     FL out 20 to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Friday to 4 AM EST Saturday
     for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters
     from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters-
     Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

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