Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 070816
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
316 AM EST Sun Mar 7 2021

.DISCUSSION...
The cold front that brought the gloomy and cool day across that
state is now to our south. Clouds are still lingering but should
exit pretty quickly during the morning hours. As we look into
Sunday and next work week the weather looks pretty benign. High
pressure will start out near Texas and Arkansas before heading
toward the east coast and eventually out into the Atlantic
through the work week. As it moves east the airmass will be
modifying. For us that means the cooler temperatures we will see
Sunday and Monday will start to to slowly warm up through the
week. By Friday we should be seeing highs back into the mid 80s.


&&

.AVIATION...
Brief MVFR CIGS possible for the next few hours. After that VFR
conditions expected through the rest of the period. Winds will
remain gusty out of the northeast until around 00z.

&&

.MARINE...
Cold front pushed through yesterday leaving in its wake
breezy northeasterly winds as high pressure settles in. These breezy
conditions will continue through at least mid day Monday bringing
small craft or exercise caution to all zones. Winds will shift to
the east and calm down slightly through mid week but will remain
around 10 to 15 knots.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Cold front pushed through during the day yesterday. Behind
it we will see cooler temperatures and lower humidity. Critically
low RHs will be possible along the Nature Coast both Sunday and
Monday however winds will be light so Red Flag will not be needed.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  72  49  72  53 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  76  51  75  55 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  71  48  71  52 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  73  49  73  53 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  70  39  72  44 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  70  53  70  56 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for Charlotte
     Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Tarpon
     Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters-
     Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to
     60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EST Monday for Coastal waters
     from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters
     from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Waters from
     Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from
     Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...27/Shiveley
UPPER AIR...04/Sobien
DECISION SUPPORT...04/Sobien


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