Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 240838
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
338 AM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 323 AM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

Cold front continuing to push east, departing the FA early this
morning. A few lingering showers will affect areas east of Fosston
and Detroit Lakes before dawn. In the wake of the front west winds
have developed and will increase as the upper low pressure system
slowly tracks east across southern Manitoba. This support combined
with a secondary push of CAA will be enough for another round of
scattered showers across the northern tier of counties this
afternoon in NE ND and into NW MN this evening and overnight.
Cooler temps today with highs in the 70s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 323 AM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

Thursday will continue to see the influence of the upper low
especially across NW MN with shower activity chances continuing,
as a cool and cloudy day is expected. With upper low ejecting east
thursday aftn and sfc high pressure building into the northern
plains will see clearing skies from west to east. This will allow
a cool night with temps in the 40s to 50 Friday morning.

Next round of PCPN will lift NE out of SD Friday mid morning with
short wave in the SW 500mb flow. Showers and thunder will continue
to lift into the rest of the FA Friday afternoon and evening with
the DVL BSN more likely to remain dry.

The next 500 mb low and short wave trough will move through
Saturday giing a good chance for showers and thunderstorms.  The
system will move east on Sunday giving dry weather for Sunday night
into Monday.  Next system to arrive Tuesday.  00z long range models
pretty good with overall pattern.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1152 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2016

This set of TAFs has some mist in the BJI TAF as indicated by the
NAM MOS guidance and recent trends. Believe it will be short lived
as drier air will push into the area behind the cold front
tonight. There are some MVFR Cigs ahead of the front...which is
currently near the ND/MN border. Tomorrow...breezy west winds are
expected along with some fair weather cumulus in the afternoon.
Thicker cumulus can be expected up near DVL...with a shower
possible. Most of the showers should stay to the north of DVL,
however.


&&

.FGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JK
LONG TERM...JK/Riddle
AVIATION...Knutsvig


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