Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FXUS65 KBOU 222048

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
248 PM MDT Sat Oct 22 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 139 PM MDT Sat Oct 22 2016

No significant changes to forecast...we stll have a dry stable
airmass in place with a lee trough in eastern Colorado. Winds will
continue this afternoon...and drop off this evening.  We still
expect the lee trough to move east later tonight with a high
pressure center dropping across eastern Colorado and dropping
temperatures back into the 70s.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 139 PM MDT Sat Oct 22 2016

Looks like another mainly dry and mild autumn week ahead for
Colorado with high pressure in control with just a few
exceptions. Temperatures overall will be in the 70s on the plains
and 40s and 50s in the mountains through much of the week and
looks like a persistent forecast is the way to go.

The exceptions include a weak upper level disturbance which will
shift the ridge East of Colorado on Monday with a more southwest
flow aloft and increasing moisture. Expect scattered showers to
develop in the mountains late Monday and continue into Tuesday
with some weak QG ascent with the disturbance. A few showers may
spill out on the plains on Tuesday but lack of upslope flow will
keep activity limited. Temperatures will be a little cooler with
the trof and some more cloud cover.

High pressure ridge aloft builds back into Colorado on Wednesday
with a return to dry and mild conditions. Next batch of moisture
moves into Colorado Friday afternoon and night for the next chance
for showers and cooler temperatures.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 139 PM MDT Sat Oct 22 2016

Vfr conditions can be expected through Monday as the dry and
stable airmss continues over Colorado. Surface winds will be
west northwesterly and occasionally gusty this afternoon...then
will settle down to light drainage tonight...then southeasterly
by midday monday.


Issued at 139 PM MDT Sat Oct 22 2016

The red flag warning continues...we have seen a few observations
with humidities less than 10 percent...but that has been hit and
miss. expect that when winds drop this evening and dewpoints begin
to rise that the red flag warning will expire at 6pm.


Red Flag Warning until 6 PM MDT this evening for COZ211-213>215-



LONG TERM...Entrekin
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