Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FXUS65 KBOU 191048
AFDBOU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
348 AM MST WED NOV 19 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT )
ISSUED AT 157 AM MST WED NOV 19 2014

WINDS OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGHER FOOTHILLS WILL CONTINUE TO
DECREASE THROUGH THE MORNING AS THE UPPER LEVEL JET AND SURFACE
LEE TROUGH WEAKENS AND MOVES SOUTH. SOME MOUNTAINS PASSES COULD
STILL SEE GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH AT DAYBREAK. WITH THE INCREASED
DOWNSLOPE WINDS OVERNIGHT INTO THIS MORNING TEMPERATURES STAYED
WARM NEAR THE FOOTHILLS SO RAISED MIN TEMPS A FEW DEGREES.
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BRING A DRY AND
WARMER PATTERN TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSE TO SEASONAL
NORMALS FOR THE REGION. DECENT MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
KEEP PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES DURING THE DAY TODAY.

FOR TONIGHT MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
WILL BRING INCREASED CLOUDS TO THE MOUNTAINS. WITH A CLOUD DECK
OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABLE TO GET TO THE UPPER TEENS AND
LOWER 20S FOR THE PLAINS.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 157 AM MST WED NOV 19 2014

THE NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT A BIT MORE
WESTERLY ON THURSDAY AS WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS COLORADO.
THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE WITH THIS
FEATURE SO HAVE INCREASED CLOUD COVER. THERE IS NOT MUCH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE SO EXPECT ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SIMILAR TO WEDNESDAY WITH READINGS MAINLY
IN THE MID-UPPER 40S ACROSS THE PLAINS.

FOR FRIDAY AND EARLY SATURDAY...THE NEXT CHUNK OF ENERGY AND BULK
OF MOISTURE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL
HAVE LIMITED EFFECT ON COLORADO WEATHER WITH DRY CONDITIONS BUT
VARIED AMOUNTS OF MID/HI LEVEL MOISTURE.

MORE SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO THE MOUNTAINS LATE
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS STRONGER NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN DEVELOPS
OVER THE STATE. THIS SHOULD SET UP DECENT OROGRAPHIC SNOW
PRODUCTION FOR NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. WILL CONTINUE TO RAISE POPS TO
LIKELY IN SOME OF THE HIGHER NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. A COLD FRONT WILL
SWEEP ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH COLDER
TEMPERATURES AND JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW DUE TO MAINLY
DOWNSLOPE NORTHWEST FLOW. TEMPERATURES BY EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL
SETTLE BACK INTO THE 30S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 157 AM MST WED NOV 19 2014

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WITH THE
EXITING SURFACE LEE TROUGH WINDS WILL TRANSITION TO NORTHERLY FLOW
BEFORE GOING SOUTHWEST BY 13 TO 14Z. CEILING IS EXPECTED TO
SCATTER OUT BY 17Z WITH WINDS MOVING AROUND TO THE EAST BY THIS
EVENING BEFORE GOING TO DRAINAGE OVERNIGHT.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BOWEN
LONG TERM...ENTREKIN
AVIATION...BOWEN


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