Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FXUS65 KBOU 270924
AFDBOU

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
324 AM MDT SAT AUG 27 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 324 AM MDT Sat Aug 27 2016

A weak ridge will be over Colorado today as a trough moves across
the Desert Southwest. This will bring warmer and drier conditions
to area. Highs are expected to be in the 80s over northeast
Colorado this afternoon. Airmass becomes slightly unstable over
the higher terrain and south of Interstate 70. Moisture not that
great with perceptible water values of a half inch over the higher
terrain to three-quarters of an inch across the plains. Should be
enough instability and moisture to trigger isolated to scattered
thunderstorms over the higher terrain and south of I-70. A few
weak showers or storms could spill onto the Front Range and near
by plains. Brief moderate to heavy rain, small hail and wind gusts
to 40 will be possible with the stronger storms. The showers and
storms will come to an end this evening as the airmass quickly
stabilizes.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 324 AM MDT Sat Aug 27 2016

A broad ridge of high pressure will stretch across much of the
southern and central u.s. for next week. The flow aloft will be
quite weak. On Sunday through Wednesday...a weak southerly flow
aloft will be over the state. The mdls still maintain some
subtropical moisture over the region...with Colorado on the
western edge of this plume. Will keep a slight chance of
thunderstorms in the grids each day. The best chance for this will
be over the higher terrain. The flow aloft will increase Thursday
into Friday as the next upper level trough axis moves onto the
west coast.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night)
Issued at 324 AM MDT Sat Aug 27 2016

If winds become light and the skies clear some, fog will be
possible. The best chance for fog will be to the east of Denver
but can`t be ruled out at KDEN from 12-16z. Any fog is expected to
burn off by 16z.

The best chance for storms today will be after 21z and to the south
and west of the Denver area. An outflow boundary may produce a wind
shift, otherwise the storms are expected to stay to the south of
the Denver airports.

&&

.BOU Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Meier
LONG TERM...Cooper
AVIATION...Meier



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