Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FXUS65 KBOU 170938
AFDBOU

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
338 AM MDT Sun Mar 17 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A little cooler today with a slight chance of light snow mainly
  in the mountains and foothills.

- Warmer weather next week, with occasional light mountain snow
  showers through the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 325 AM MDT Sun Mar 17 2024

Overall, conditions will be fairly similar to yesterday. More
cloud cover around will likely lower high temperatures by a couple
of degrees from Saturday however. Northeast CO will remain under
a deformation zone today, with a closed upper low over the Desert
Southwest and trough over the Great Lakes Region. There is a fair
amount of mid level cloudiness along the Front Range/Urban
Corridor and it looks like it will persist through much of the
day. There were isolated to scattered snow showers overnight in
the mountains and over the Palmer Divide this morning but those
are decreasing at this time. Some of those showers are expected to
return this afternoon, with the best chance in the mountains from
the I-70 corridor southward. Across the plains, light west/northwest
this morning will increase a become north/northwest this
afternoon. The northeast plains could see some gusts to
around 30 mph this afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 249 AM MDT Sun Mar 17 2024

Quiet weather to prevail early next week over Colorado while we
sit between a long wave trough over eastern North America and the
persistent upper level low over the Desert Southwest. Temperatures
Monday warm up to near normal, mid to upper 50s over northeast
Colorado. The warming trend continues into Tuesday with lower to
mid 60s for northeast Colorado. The slowly weakening closed low
over the Desert Southwest crawls a little closer to the region
Tuesday with a few snow showers possible over the mountains. Not
much change for Wednesday as the Desert Southwest low finally gets
caught up in the flow aloft and tracks east across the Southern
Rockies. This will bring another chance for snow showers to the
central and southern Colorado mountains.

For Thursday through Saturday, a westerly flow aloft will
prevail. Expect seasonal temperatures to continue under this
pattern with upper 50s to mid 60s over northeast Colorado. Will
begin to see better chances for mountain snow Friday and Saturday
when a wave or two tracks across the region. This will be ahead of
stronger trough diving south along the Pacific coast which occurs
Saturday and Sunday. Details on this trough, on how strong it
will be and where it tracks is still unclear with it being a week
away.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday night)
Issued at 330 AM MDT Sun Mar 17 2024

Broken ceilings in the 6-8 kft AGL are expected to persist this
morning through late this evening, until around 04z. Light NNW
winds this morning, could shift to a NW/NE (350-020) direction
after 14z. This should remain somewhat persistent as well through
the day, then it should transition back to SSW drainage this
evening, 02-04z.
&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cooper
LONG TERM...Meier
AVIATION...Cooper


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