Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS65 KBOU 012022
AFDBOU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
222 PM MDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 144 PM MDT MON SEP 1 2014

THERE REMAINS A MODERATE NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN ACROSS COLORADO AS
AN UPPER TROF SWEEPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS STATES. STILL
SEEING SOME OF THESE GUSTY WINDS IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH SPEEDS UP
AROUND 35 MPH. A DRIER AIRMASS CONTINUES TO FILTER IN FROM UTAH
AND WYOMING AS TOTAL PW IMAGERY SHOWING DRYNESS PUSHING INTO
NORTHEAST COLORADO. DESPITE THE DRYNESS STILL EXPECT A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS OVER HIGHER TERRAIN ALONG THE CYS RIDGE AND FAR
NORTHEAST PLAINS ALONG THE TAIL END OF THE UPPER TROF. ANOTHER
AREA WHERE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP IS ALONG THE PALMER
DIVIDE THROUGH EARLY EVENING WITH SOME MOISTURE CONVERGENCE.
BEHIND THE UPPER TROF THERE IS A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH WILL
MOVE INTO NORTHEAST COLORADO LATER TNT AS WINDS SHIFT NORTHEAST.
THERE MAY BE A FEW AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS LATER TNT BEHIND THIS
FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS.

FOR TUESDAY...THE FLOW ALOFT WILL SHIFT MORE WESTERLY WITH MORE
DRYNESS COMING IN FROM THE WEST. DON`T EXPECT ANY STORMS IN THE
CWA ON TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO CONTINUE THE WARMING TREND
WITH READINGS IN THE MID 80S ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 144 PM MDT MON SEP 1 2014

NOT MUCH ADJUSTMENT NEEDED IN THE LONG TERM. A DRY SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT WILL OVER COLORADO ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH
TEMPERATURES PROGGED TO HIT 90 IN DENVER. ON THURSDAY...THE FLOW
ALOFT WILL REMAIN SOUTHWESTERLY WITH SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE STARTING
TO GET ENTRAINED FM MEXICO AND INTO COLORADO LATE IN THE DAY. IN
ADDITION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NERN CO IN THE
MORNING...WHICH WILL COOL TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE UPPER 70S. IN
ADDITION...THE EASTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS SHOULD START TO USHER IN
AN INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. THE TREND THROUGH THE REST OF
THE PERIOD WILL BE COOLER WITH TEMPERATURES RUNNING A LITTLE
COOLER THAN NORMAL...WITH A CHC/SLGT CHC OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE FLOW WILL BE MORE SLY OVER THE WEEKEND.
THIS WILL HELP BETTER ESTABLISH THE PLUME OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE
INTO THE STATE. THERE APPEARS TO BE A LEE TROUGH DEVELOPING OVER
EASTERN CO SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...WITH DRIER SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW OVER COLORADO BY THE START OF NEXT WEEK.


&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY LATE AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 144 PM MDT MON SEP 1 2014

EXPECT LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OVER THE TERMINALS THIS
AFTERNOON BEFORE SHIFTING TO LIGHT DRAINAGE TOWARDS MIDNIGHT.
THERE IS A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH WILL APPROACH TERMINALS
AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH MAYBE A WEAK SHIFT TO THE NORTH. THIS WILL BE
FIGHTING DRAINAGE SO EXPECT IT TO BE FAIRLY SHORT LIVED. VFR WITH
MAINLY CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ENTREKIN
LONG TERM...COOPER
AVIATION...ENTREKIN



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.