Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FXUS65 KGJT 030534
AFDGJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1134 PM MDT MON MAY 2 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 302 PM MDT MON MAY 2 2016

AFTERNOON SHOWERS TODAY WILL DISSIPATE AS WE LOSE RADIATIVE
FORCING THIS EVENING. RIDGING WILL AMPLIFY ON TUESDAY ALOFT AND AT
THE SURFACE LEVELS. LEFT SOME SHOWERS IN THE SAN JUANS FOR TUESDAY
AFTERNOON DUE TO RESIDUAL MOISTURE...BUT EXPECTING VERY LITTLE
ACTIVITY. SUNSHINE WILL ABOUND AND TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO NEAR
NORMAL AND A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE REGION.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 302 PM MDT MON MAY 2 2016

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY ON THE WESTERN AXIS OF THE
HIGH PRESSURE ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING VERY WARM CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE REGION WITH TEMPERATURES PUSHING AND EXCEEDING 80
DEGREES IN THE LOWER VALLEYS. A LARGE AMPLITUDE TROUGH MOVES
ONSHORE CALIFORNIA ON THURSDAY AND WILL GREATLY INCREASE THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WHILE HIGH PRESSURE HOLDS ITS GROUND TO THE
EAST. THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL GREATLY INCREASE NOT JUST
THE WIND ON THURSDAY BUT ALSO WILL PICK UP A 5+ G/KG FETCH OF
MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS WILL RESULT IN UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ON THURSDAY.
FORECAST CAPE SHOWS AN UPTICK ON THURSDAY WITH FAVORABLE LAPSE
RATES FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE LARGE CLOSED
LOW WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST AND IMPACT THE ROCKIES THROUGHOUT THE
WEEKEND KEEPING CONDITIONS BREEZY...SHOWERY...AND ON THE COOL
SIDE.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1130 PM MDT MON MAY 2 2016

VFR CONDITIONS DOMINATE. FROM 18Z TO 02Z...SCATTERED MAINLY MTN
SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE MAINLY SOUTH OF
I-70.


&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JAM
LONG TERM...JAM
AVIATION...JOE


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