Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FXUS65 KGJT 260439

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1039 PM MDT Tue Oct 25 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 259 PM MDT Tue Oct 25 2016

The atmosphere will continue to stabilize this evening as ridging
builds into the region over the next 24 hours. The ridge will
amplify Wednesday bringing sunny skies and temperatures 5 to 10
degrees above normal once again for the second part of the

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 259 PM MDT Tue Oct 25 2016

On Thursday, the next trough in the Eastern Pacific moves onshore
the West Coast and will strengthen southwest winds over the Great
Basin. By Friday, strong southwest winds of 25 to 35 mph will
develop over much of eastern Utah and extreme western Colorado.
Winds will be strongest across northeastern Utah where the 70 kt upper
level jet will reach. These breezy conditions will continue
through the weekend with some decoupling possible at lower
elevations between the sunset to sunrise time period. Overall
conditions will remain unstable with a shower or two possible over
the weekend, particularly on Sunday. The trough looks to finally
push through as a cold front on Sunday night or early Monday. At
this point there is major differentiation on 700 mb temps by
Monday (5 to 8 degree difference) in the long range models and
timing and extent of precipitation as well. Cooler unsettled
conditions are expected for next week...with temperature closer to
climo than we have been seeing recently.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1039 PM MDT Tue Oct 25 2016

Low cloud ceilings will be hanging on for areas near and along the
divide through early morning hours till around 08Z before
dissipating as the latest disturbance moves eastward and high
pressure moves into the region. Relatively high humidity overnight
due to recent rainfall will lead to areas of patchy fog especially
along the rivers. This should have minimal impact on TAF sites
with VFR conditions dominating under clear skies tonight. Fog
should burn off by 15z with sunny skies and light, terrain-driven
winds on Wednesday, leading to VFR conditions.


Issued at 634 PM MDT Tue Oct 25 2016

...Near Record High Temperatures Possible Around The Area Thursday...

Clear skies and a strong ridge of high pressure will contribute to
a possibility of record high temperatures on Thursday. Here is a
list of record high temperatures and the Thursday high temperature
forecast at several locations around our forecast area. Note: some
locations will not reach their record high temperature. Also keep
in mind that the forecast could change.

Location                Thurs Record  Year      Forecast High
                          High Temp              (as of Tue)

Arches Natl Park              79      1999           76
Aspen                         68      1950           67
Cortez                        75      1950           74
Craig                         73      1937           72
Crested Butte                 72      1915           60
Grand Junction                74      1966           76
Moab                          85      1926           77
Montrose                      79      1960           73
Ridgway                       75      2008           71
Rifle                         78      1952           74
Steamboat Springs             76      1894           69




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