Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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282
FXUS65 KGJT 230906
AFDGJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
306 AM MDT MON MAY 23 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 259 AM MDT Mon May 23 2016

Dry southwest flow aloft will prevail today as a weak ridge will
be over the area. Another low pressure system will continue
depending along the west coast but will make little progress to
the east. On Tuesday the trough will begin filling and moving
inland into NV and ID but the flow over the forecast area will
stay southwesterly and relatively dry.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 400 PM MDT Sun May 22 2016

The downstream block will gradually break down by mid week and the
western trough will be allowed to traverse across the Rockies
Thursday. Wednesday will be a mirror of Tuesday with only isolated
afternoon convection anticipated in the afternoon. The passage of
the trough will bring an uptick to the convection Thursday which
will linger into Friday with cooler temperatures aloft aiding in
afternoon instability in northerly flow aloft. The next Pacific
system drops into the west Saturday and southerly flow return to
our CWA going into next weekend. At this time winds seem more of a
concern than precipitation. Temperatures remain below normal.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 259 AM MDT Mon May 23 2016

VFR conditions will prevail. Moderate southwest winds will cause
areas of mechanical turbulence. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms over the northern mountains may cause brief local
mountain top obscurations this afternoon and early evening.

&&

.GJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
CO...None.
UT...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CC
LONG TERM...15
AVIATION...CC



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