Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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FXUS63 KPAH 221656
AFDPAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1155 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2014

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1155 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

Aviation update.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday night)
Issued at 155 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

High pressure at the surface will dominate the early and mid week
period as it builds across the entire Ohio river valley. Upper
heights gradually rebound each day, which translates to a degree
or two of warming each day as well. This means temperatures that
start out around 70 (north), or in the lower 70s (south), for highs
today, will move into the mid/upr 70s and around 80 by Wed.
Similarly, lows starting out in the mid-upr 40s gradually move
into and thru the 50s by mid week.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 155 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

The upper ridge that builds into the area earlier in the week, tends
to weaken by Thursday as an upper level system slowly moves east but
then stalls out just to our west. This weak upper level ridge stays
in place through Saturday. At the sfc, high pressure will remain in
control. Therefore, we should see dry weather from at least Thursday
through Saturday.

Models are trying to develop a system in the lower Mississippi River
valley by late Saturday and into Sunday which could bring increased
moisture and a chance for some rain. However, models are really have
a hard time resolving how this system will evolve at this time.
Therefore, will leave the forecast dry.

Temperatures should generally remain in the lower 80s for highs and
50s for lows, as no large scale air mass changes appear likely. In
addition, humidity values will remain low, so comfortable conditions
will continue.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 1155 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

Strato-CU thinning out as expected with good sun and decent mixing
of dry air from above. NE breeze will continue 5-10kts, then
diminish and become calm this evening. Local effect shallow fog
possibility at KCGI late tonight, otherwise clear tonight. ENE winds
4-8kts will kick in shortly after daybreak Tuesday.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
&&

$$









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