Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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000
FXUS63 KPAH 210700
AFDPAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
200 AM CDT Sun Sep 21 2014

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday night)
Issued at 152 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

The cold front, and its associated convection, is right now
bearing down on our northern counties...still 1 to 2 counties
removed to our north. It will be sweeiping in this morning, with
isolated to scattered convection accompanying its passage. The
models are fairly consistent with ending Pops by 18z or if not,
very shortly thereafter.

After that, High pressure moves in, dry air works down the column,
and cooler air settles highs/lows back to seasonal temperatures
for the remainder of the short term.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 152 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

High pressure dominates the first part of the long term forecast,
but as it has shifted east, and southerly return flow develops,
temps warm back to the lower 80s for highs, and up thru the 50s
for lows.

The high should keep the remainder of the workweek dry, but the
models signal some tropical moisture fetching up across the TN
valley late in the period, as low pressure takes shape across the
south and migrates eastward. This will mean a reintroduction of
Pops as we head into next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 152 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

Fropa this morning will yield vicinity shower mention for the
terminals, while cigs remain VFR. However if a shower or storm
does hit, then MVFR cigs are possible. Winds will shift to
northwest, or north, after fropa, and skies will clear from west
to east by or even before this afternoon.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
&&

$$





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