Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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FXUS63 KPAH 160940

340 AM CST Tue Dec 16 2014

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Thursday night)
Issued at 330 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2014

The main forecast challenge in the short term lies with a possible
light winter weather event Wednesday night into early Thursday.

Other than some left over sprinkles or patchy drizzle, the main
weather story today will be the return to colder, blustery
conditions. Temperatures will likely hold steady or fall slowly
throughout the day under cloudy skies. West winds will gust over
20 mph at times, making it feel even more uncomfortable.

Wednesday will be dry and chilly as Canadian high pressure builds
southeast into the region. Highs will stay in the 30s and lower
40s for the most part. Moisture will begin to over run the dome of
cold air Wednesday night as a weak mid level short wave lifts
northeast out of the southern Plains. It now appears the best lift
and highest QPF will occur over south and west portions of the
forecast region since the s/w should weaken as it comes into the
region. Even the precipitation over southern areas should stay on
the light side. As far as precipitation type, most model soundings
suggest snow, through there should be a deep layer where temps
will be very close to freezing. Given the cold air in place, an
inch or two of snow appears possible over the southern half of
the forecast area by the time precip tapers Thursday morning.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 330 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2014

To be issued shortly.


Issued at 1142 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

Cold front just about through the area, and there is still plenty
of gustiness along and behind it. The last of the showers should
push northeast of KEVV and KOWB in the next hour or two. In the
meantime, some MVFR conditions will be possible.

The larger area of MVFR clouds has just reached KCGI in the last
hour and should overspread the remainder of the area over the next
3 hours or so. As the secondary surface trough sweeps through the
area just after daybreak, IFR ceilings and possibly some drizzle
will be possible in the northeast, and ceilings at or below 1500
ft will be possible in the southwest.

There is some potential for breaks at KCGI in the evening, but
elsewhere MVFR ceilings should persist through the end of this
forecast period.




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