Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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FXUS63 KPAH 200850

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
250 AM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday night)
Issued at 250 AM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

General NW upper level flow expected in the short term. High
pressure will move east today. Return southerly flow will result
in milder temperatures. Expect occasional high clouds. A dry cold
front will pass through the region Tuesday. One more mild day
Tuesday, then cooling back down Wednesday as the next high in line
moves southeast and over the area. Used existing numbers and MOS
for temps.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 250 AM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

The medium range models were in good general agreement on the
amplified longwave mid level pattern over the CONUS through the
extended period. Toward the end of the week, under northwesterly
flow aloft, a slowly moderating cool airmass will be in the PAH
forecast area, with gentle southerly surface winds starting up Thu
afternoon in advance of another moisture-starved cold front. The
front is progged to sweep through our region on Sat, heralded by
only some cloud cover and a wind shift to the northwest, with speeds
10 to 15 mph. Sun/Sun night will be noticeably cooler under the
center of high surface pressure.

Fri and Sat will be the two warmest days of the period, with highs
in the 50s, and lows Sat morning in the 40s. No pcpn is forecast.


Issued at 250 AM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

VFR conditions today through tonight. Occasional high clouds.
Winds will become south 5 to 10 kts on average. Some gusts 15-18
kts will be possible midday through early afternoon.



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