Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
FXUS62 KMLB 131315

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
915 AM EDT Tue Mar 13 2018


...Cool Weather on Tap Through Thursday Night...
...Warmer Temperatures for the Upcoming Weekend into Early Next

TODAY...High pressure ridge building in behind cold front that was
driven down into the southern Bahamas, will cause the local pressure
gradient to weaken. Therefore, winds will be much lighter than the
blustery conditions experienced yesterday.

Morning precipitable water on central Florida raobs show extensive
dry air with precipitable water about 0.30 inches. Some cold air
stratocumulus were streaming southward over the Atlantic, but
gradient wind will maintain an offshore component (northwest) today,
so these clouds will remain offshore. Other than a little thin
cirrus, skies will be clear.

Morning lows were 10-15 degrees below normal, in the lower-mid 40s.
Therefore, despite full solar insolation, high temperatures will
only make it into the mid-upper 60s, which is about 5-10 degrees
below normal.

Little-no change to the previous forecast.




Today-Tonight...All computer model guidance shows a decrease in the
pressure gradient as a high pressure ridge builds in behind cold
front down in the Bahamas.  This will cause northwest/north winds to
diminish to around 10 knots during the afternoon, and below 10 knots
tonight.  Will continue a Small Craft Advisory in the Gulf Stream
this afternoon.


Today...No changes.  Min RH values will fall to around 25 percent
over the interior with long durations below 35 percent.
Northwest/north winds will be less than 10 mph this afternoon. ERC
criteria still requires a Red Flag Warning for Seminole/Orange.


FL...Red Flag Warning from noon today to 8 PM EDT this evening for

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for Sebastian
     Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for Sebastian
     Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line
     to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.



MID-LONG TERM...Johnson is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.