Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FXUS65 KBOU 162123
AFDBOU

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
323 PM MDT Sun Jul 16 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 320 PM MDT Sun Jul 16 2017

Water vapor satellite shows center of weak low over far eastern
Colorado with the best axis of moisture over the eastern state
border. Drier air under the ridge is pushing over the foothills
and urban corridor. A ribbon of moisture originating over western
Colorado this morning has moved over the northern and central
mountains with scattered thunderstorms expected to continue
pushing south over the next few hours. Most hires models have
discontinued wanting to bring convection into the Denver area this
evening - will continue the dry forecast. Storms over the far eastern
plains may last into the night, especially over the far
northeastern corner as the low lifts slightly north.

Monday will bring warmer temperatures as the upper ridge re-
establishes itself behind the departing upper low. Moisture in
westerly flow will continue another day of scattered afternoon
mountains showers and storms, with a slight chance of pushing over
the plains. Precipitation will be light over the plains however,
with forecast soundings showing more of an inverted V type, so
gusty winds will be more of a concern.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 320 PM MDT Sun Jul 16 2017

Broad high pressure ridge aloft over the 4 corners region on
Tuesday will gradually shift eastward into the central plains
states from late Wednesday through the end of this week.
Initially, temperatures will be warming well into the 90s over the
plains with only isolated storms through Wednesday. The mountains
will see slightly better chances for storms with a better influx
of moisture. Once the high shifts east, the flow will become more
southwest which should steer a bit more moisture into Colorado
and the plains. Expect some slight cooling later in the week with
a better chance for storms. Fairly typical weather pattern for
middle of July.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 320 PM MDT Sun Jul 16 2017

VFR conditions are expected through Monday afternoon.
Thunderstorms will remain mainly south and west of Denver through
this evening. Little or no impact expected to the Denver
terminals. Easterly winds will become drainage tonight, veering
around through west and north Monday morning to northeasterly
Monday late morning.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Kriederman
LONG TERM...Entrekin
AVIATION...Kriederman



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