Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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000
FXUS63 KMQT 280021
AFDMQT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
821 PM EDT WED APR 27 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 305 PM EDT WED APR 27 2016

QUIET AND SEASONABLY COOL WEATHER CONTINUES AS A DECAYING MID-LEVEL
LOW MEANDERS FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE MID MS VALLEY AND HIGH
PRESSURE SITS OVER NORTHERN MANITOBA AND FAR NW ONTARIO. OTHER THAN
HIGH CLOUDS FILTERING ACROSS THE CWA...EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS TONIGHT.

SOME GUIDANCE SHOWS PRECIP ATTEMPTING TO MOVE NORTHWARD TO MAINLY
THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CWA BY THU AFTERNOON. BUT SEEING HOW PRECIP IS
DECAYING ACROSS MN AND PORTIONS OF WI TODAY...AND GIVEN THE VERY DRY
AIR MASS ADVECTING IN FORM THE NE...CONDITIONS FAVOR A DRY FORECAST
ACROSS THE CWA FOR THU. THOUGH...VIRGA WITH MAYBE A FEW SPRINKLES
REACHING THE GROUND WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE FAR SOUTH CENTRAL.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 445 PM EDT WED APR 27 2016

NO MENTIONABLE IMPACTS IN THE LONG TERM AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN
CONTROL AND KEEPS THINGS QUIET. AS A RESULT...WAS ABLE TO JUST LOAD
A CONSENSUS/OFFICIAL BLEND FOR THE ENTIRE LONG TERM.
&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 820 PM EDT WED APR 27 2016

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH SCATTERED
HIGH CLOUDS AND NE WINDS GENERALLY UNDER 12 KTS.
&&

.MARINE...(FOR THE 4 PM LAKE SUPERIOR FORECAST ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 305 PM EDT WED APR 27 2016

LAKE SUPERIOR WILL REMAIN BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
CANADA AND A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS DRIFTING EASTWARD ACROSS
THE MID MS VALLEY AND FAR SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THIS FAVORS CONTINUED N TO NE WINDS UNDER 20 KTS FOR MOST OF LAKE
SUPERIOR. THE ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE OVER THE FAR WESTERN LAKE NEAR
DULUTH...WHERE FUNNELING OF NE WINDS WILL FAVOR GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS
TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY...AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY. THE HIGH OVER CANADA
WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND BRING LIGHT
WINDS FOR MONDAY.
&&

.MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UPPER MICHIGAN...
NONE.
LAKE SUPERIOR...
NONE.
LAKE MICHIGAN...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KLUBER
LONG TERM...TITUS
AVIATION...JLB
MARINE...KLUBER


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