Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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840
FXUS63 KEAX 221124
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
624 AM CDT Sat Apr 22 2017

.Discussion...
Issued at 410 AM CDT SAT APR 22 2017

It`s going to be a cool and damp start to the weekend this
morning, but conditions will improve as we move forward through
the weekend into the work week with more rain chances scattered
through the week. Satellite imagery this morning shows a rather
messy broad trough in place across the center of the Nation, with
radar and satellite trends showing the circulation defining the
trough entering western Missouri early this morning. This trough
is running over a cool airmass in place across the Central Plains,
with a cold front noted surging south into Texas, which has
resulted in a shield of rain which is currently focused across
areas from east central Kansas east through central Missouri early
this morning.

For the rest of the weekend, the trough will continue to move east
today, taking the rain with it leaving the region sunny and dry by
the end of the weekend. Hi-res models this morning, and the larger
operational solutions, all look to have initialized the current
early morning rain rather well across Kansas and Missouri. As such,
expectations are that the rain will do as advertised and slide off
to the east along with the parent trough. Eventually, the cloud
cover will also exit with the trough allowing the clouds to clear
from north to south during the afternoon and evening hours. This
sunshine should help parts of far northern Missouri reach in the
60s today with areas south of I-70 likely to stay in the 50s as
the cloud cover will be slower to clear. Conditions for Sunday
will warm up a bit with the help of mostly clear skies, allowing
temperatures to climb into at least the upper 60s; which will be
rather nice for National Picnic Day.

The coming work week will also be rather nice, though starting
Tuesday, and through the reminder of the week, conditions may be a
bit unsettled as temperatures wonder through the 60s and 70s with
a few different chances at storms as a strong jet streak shifts
across the country, pushing a few shortwave troughs through our
region. Chances for rain return as soon as Tuesday with the trough
on the leading edge of the jet streak arriving. However, current
mid-range operational and ensemble models point at the better
potential for widespread storms will be focus on the tail end of
the work week into the beginning of next weekend.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday Morning)
Issued at 624 AM CDT SAT APR 22 2017

Despite the showers still floating around western Missouri early
this morning, VFR conditions are expected to prevail through this
TAF cycle. What clouds are out there will remain in the VFR range
today, clearing from north to south later this afternoon.
Otherwise, expect surface winds to remain from the northeast
today, going light and variable overnight.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...Cutter
Aviation...Cutter



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