Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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000
FXUS63 KEAX 312312
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
612 PM CDT Sun May 31 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 240 PM CDT SUN MAY 31 2015

Drier air and mixing has allowed roughly half of the forecast area
to enjoy a sunny day, while the remainder of the CWA has been kept
under low clouds. The KC Metro may see a few more breaks in the
clouds during the remainder of the afternoon. Otherwise, recent
trends and high-resolution models suggest scattered to broken
coverage of low clouds to fill back in over currently some clear
areas tonight. Weatherwise, it will be a quiet and cool night with
lows in the lower 50s. If a few breaks in the clouds can occur over
east central Kansas into west central Missouri where readings can
efficiently cool where the highest moisture resides, there may be
some patchy fog overnight. Model spread is high and overall
confidence in fog scenario is low.

Upper level ridging will build into the region early this work week,
keeping the appreciable weather relatively tranquil. The ridge
flattens some Wednesday into Friday, allowing for a few weak upper
disturbances to slide into the area. This may allow for an increase
in thunderstorm chances, but coverage is expected to be scattered,
short-lived, and not severe as deep layer shear for organized
convection will be weak. High temperatures will be on the increase
through the week, with readings warming into 80s for most locations
Thursday into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday Evening)
Issued at 612 PM CDT SUN MAY 31 2015

Skies tried to break up over the terminals today but quickly filled
back with a low VFR deck. These ceilings should continue through much
of the night but may lower to the low MVFR or IFR range late tonight
or early Monday morning. Again, skies look to break up, or at least
become VFR again by Monday afternoon. Winds will be light throughout
the period with a surface ridge nosing through the area.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Blair
AVIATION...CDB





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