Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
FXUS63 KEAX 190501
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1201 AM CDT Wed Oct 19 2016
Issued at 301 PM CDT TUE OCT 18 2016
Cold front that slid through the region this morning has pushed to
near the I-44 corridor where it will remain quasi-stationary
overnight. A broad upper wave tracking across the area late tonight
into Wednesday will interact with this boundary with several areas of
rain and thunderstorms developing mainly to the south of the forecast
area through the day. Some of this activity could make it as far
north as Sedalia and Boonville, but drier near-surface air will
prevent precipitation from spreading much further north than this.
The upper wave will pass through the area on Thursday bringing a
reinforcing shot of cooler air to the region. Highs Thursday will
only be in the upper 50s and lower 60s with lows dropping into the
upper 30s to near 40 Thursday night. Broad ridging building into the
area will bring a slow moderation in temperatures for the end of the
week with highs returning into the 70s over the weekend.
.Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday Night)
Issued at 1152 PM CDT TUE OCT 18 2016
Fog is beginning to be reported in portions of southern IA, central
MO, and eastern KS as dewpoint depressions lessen and winds slacken.
However, direct impacts to terminals still appears to be relatively
low as the fog is developing in prone locations and is so far not
indicating to be a more widespread issue. Have left out mention in
three of the four terminal TAFs, leaving it in for just STJ. One of
the limiting factors for more significant fog impacts to STJ is the
cloud cover currently over SE NE, NE KS, and into IA that could pass
through the STJ area by the early morning hours. Should more obs and
indications come in over the next couple of hours that STJ may have
fog to contend with, AMDs may be necessary.
As for other aviation impacts, VFR conditions are looking to prevail
throughout the rest of the TAF period at all four terminals.
Precipitation late Wednesday is still expected to stay south and
east of the area terminals.