Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 181144

National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
544 AM CST Sat Nov 18 2017

Issued at 359 AM CST SAT NOV 18 2017

Cold front has just about pushed through the southern portions of
the forecast area as of early this morning. The primary weather
impacts will be 1) continued chances for post-frontal precipitation
in the form of rain during the remainder of the morning hours and 2)
gusty northwest winds on the order of 30-40 mph gusts. Total
precipitation amounts will be light, generally between 0.10-0.25,
with rainfall ending at or before noon. Likewise, clouds will
rapidly clear from west to east during the afternoon hours. Even
with the afternoon sunshine, cold air advection will hold or bring
down temperatures into the middle 40s to lower 50s. The other aspect
to the day will be the windy conditions, with the highest gusts
likely occurring during the morning into early afternoon hours. As
of now, majority of guidance keeps sustained and gust wind speeds
below advisory criteria, with marginal peak gusts for an advisory at
best. Will watch upstream for wind speeds during the next couple of
hours to monitor whether peak gusts can reach upper envelope of
model guidance, and if so, an advisory may then be needed.
Otherwise, with the cooler airmass in place along with clear skies
and winds becoming light, overnight lows for tonight will fall back
down into the middle 20s to near 30.

For the upcoming week, no appreciable weather is anticipated for the
area with dry northwest flow aloft. A cold frontal passage is
expected on Tuesday reinforcing the cool airmass, resulting in mid-
week being the coolest temperatures during the work week.
Thanksgiving Day looks to be seasonably pleasant with highs in the
upper 40s to lower 50s, light winds, and mostly clear skies.


.Aviation...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday Morning)
Issued at 536 AM CST SAT NOV 18 2017

MVFR to occasionally IFR conditions will persist at terminals
through mid-morning. Areas of rain will temporarily lower
visibilities to 3-5 miles at times, with low stratus hovering
between 600-1400 feet. Conditions will markedly improve around
midday with a return to VFR conditions. Northwest winds will
strengthen during the morning hours, with gusts between 30-40 mph
at times. Wind speeds will gradually relax during the late
afternoon and evening hours.




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