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000
FXUS63 KPAH 232044
AFDPAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
244 PM CST MON FEB 23 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 PM CST MON FEB 23 2015

A PASSING WEATHER SYSTEM WILL KEEP MAINLY MID-HIGH CLOUDS IN THE
FORECAST EARLY AS IT MOVES PAST PRIMARILY TO OUR SOUTH. COLD
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO 1032-37 MB SETTLES ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY
IN THE INTERIM OVERNIGHT. LOWS SHOULD DIP DOWN TO THE SINGLE
DIGITS AND LOW TEENS AGAIN TONIGHT...AND TOMORROW...EVEN WITH
SUNSHINE...WITH STRUGGLE TO EXCEED THE FREEZING MARK.

ANOTHER WAVE OF ENERGY WILL PASS ACROSS THE MID AND UPPER OHIO
VALLEY TUE NIGHT-WEDNESDAY. WE`LL EXPERIENCE TEENS AGAIN TUE NIGHT
AND FOLLOW THAT WITH MOST IF NOT ALL THE REGION EXCEEDING 32 FOR
WEDNESDAY...ALTHOUGH IN THE FARTHEST NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES IT
WILL BE CLOSE.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 PM CST MON FEB 23 2015

A WEAK WAVE WILL MOVE OVER THE PAH FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY, WITH GFS, ECMWF AND CANADIAN ALL GENERATING SOME VERY
LIGHT QPF OVER OUR REGION.  WITH COLDER AIR ALREADY IN PLACE DUE TO
OUR TUESDAY NIGHT COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE, ANY PRECIPITATION WILL BE IN
THE FORM OF LIGHT SNOW.  WENT WITH SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS
JUST OUR NORTHWEST/WEST COUNTIES WEDNESDAY NIGHT, AND ACROSS ALL BUT
OUR FAR SOUTHWEST COUNTIES ON THURSDAY.

COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL, WITH OUR COLDEST DAY
BEING FRIDAY WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE 20S.  THE HIGH WILL MOVE EAST
INTO THE WEEKEND, AND TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE ON
SATURDAY.  WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT,
AND WE MAY ACTUALLY SEE NEAR SEASONAL READINGS SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY.

THE SHIFT TO SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE DUE TO A WARM FRONT LIFTING
NORTH ACROSS THE AREA.  ECMWF AND CANADIAN SPREAD QPF ACROSS OUR
AREA SATURDAY NIGHT, WHILE THE GFS IS SLOWER AND MOSTLY HOLDS OFF
UNTIL SUNDAY.  WENT WITH CHANCE POPS FOR LIGHT SNOW SATURDAY NIGHT,
WITH HIGHEST POPS IN OUR WEST/NORTHWEST COUNTIES.  LOW PRESSURE WILL
APPROACH THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SUNDAY, WITH A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE SUNDAY NIGHT. WENT WITH HIGH CHANCE POPS FOR RAIN AREA WIDE
ON SUNDAY, THEN WENT HIGH CHANCE TO LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT, WITH RAIN
MIXING WITH SNOW ACROSS OUR WEST/NORTHWEST AREAS.  COLDER AIR
FILTERING IN WILL KEEP A RAIN/SNOW MIX IN OUR NORTHWEST COUNTIES, AS
PRECIP CHANCES CONTINUE ACROSS OUR ENTIRE REGION ON MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED AT 243 PM CST MON FEB 23 2015

A PASSING WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING MAINLY MID AND HIGH COVER
TODAY INTO EARLY TONIGHT. CIGS MAY LOWER THRU VFR BUT SHOULD REMAIN
COMFORTABLY ABOVE RESTRICTED FLIGHT RULES CATEGORIES. LATE
TONIGHT-INTO TMRW...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORS ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY AND CLOUDS SHOULD THIN IF NOT DISPERSE.


&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
&&

$$