Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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FXUS63 KPAH 212012
AFDPAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
312 PM CDT Sun Sep 21 2014

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 312 CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

High confidence in the short term with very little to discuss.

In the wake of a cold frontal passage this morning, high pressure at
the surface coupled with increasing heights in the mid levels will
produce dry, cooler, and less humid conditions through the entire
short term period.

Overall a very pleasant week to look forward to, especially for
participation in outdoor activities.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 312 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

One form of blocking ridge or another will be in place in one form
or another during the extended portion of this forecast period.

The closed low currently over Central California will ridge up the
ridge and eventually weaken, but not before splitting the ridge
across the Central U.S. The net blocking pattern will keep the WFO
PAH forecast area high and dry through the weekend.

As thicknesses increase under the ridge, temperatures will make a
slow 1-2 degree climb each day through the period, but still remain
at or below normal.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 1226 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

As high pressure overspreads the region in the wake of a cold
frontal passage, winds will be out of the northwest at 10-12 knots
gusting up to 18 knots through 00Z, AOB 5 knots through 15Z, then
out of the north northeast AOB 6 knots. A deck of wrap around
clouds in the 025-030 range to the north is forecast to sink
southward across the terminals overnight into Monday morning.
Given other parameters, not convinced there will be a ceiling, so
added SCT clouds for now.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...JP
LONG TERM/FIRE WX...Smith






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