Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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FXUS63 KPAH 201655
AFDPAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1155 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2014

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1155 AM CDT SAT SEP 20 2014

Quick update for the remainder of the first period (this
afternoon). Surface-based theta-e convergence and insolation
suggesting a corridor over southern Illinois, Southwest Indiana,
and the southeast corner of the West Kentucky Pennyrile region
suggest some limited shower coverage. A minor adjustment to
PoP/Weather grids to accomodate the precipitation potential this
afternoon. The activity should diminish with the loss of
insolation until forcing with the cold front approaches from the
northwest.


&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Monday night)
Issued at 105 AM CDT SAT SEP 20 2014

A summer like day is on tap today to start the weekend, with
temperatures warming nicely thru the 80s in advance of a
developing weather system to our north and west. This front will
sweep into the area later tonight and make passage on Sunday,
bringing with it a chance or even good chance of rain, in the form
of showers and thundestorms.

After passage, temperatures look to cool back to more seasonal
early autumn like level to start the ensuing workweek.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 105 AM CDT SAT SEP 20 2014

High pressure over the eastern U.S. will be the dominant weather
feature through the period. Additionally, a prominent ridge at 700mb
coupled with a persistent, dry air mass locked in over the area
means dry weather with temperatures near to slightly above normal.
Not much in the way of cloud cover.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 105 AM CDT SAT SEP 20 2014

Patchy pre dawn fog should burn off quickly this morning.
Scattered cu bases in the low VFR range and slys will be the rule
today. Clouds increase late in the forecast as a front develops
and moves in from the northwest late tonight and Sunday. Rain
chances refrain this issuance but will likely enter the planning
phase of the forecast next issuance.


&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Smith





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