Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 242114
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
414 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Frontal boundary which dipped into the central Oklahoma Panhandle
today will remain nearly stationary tonight, and is expected to
move into northeast parts of the Combined Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles on Tuesday.  Thunderstorm pops retained for Tuesday
afternoon across northern one-third of forecast area.  Front
makes its move Tuesday evening, moving well south of the area by
midnight.  Healthy thunderstorm pops Tuesday night continue, with
northern sections being most favored as sharp 700 mb trof moving
into the area is accompanied by higher theta-e air.  Very low
threat for severe thunderstorms due to limited low-level moisture.
Lingering rain showers possible Wednesday morning, particularly
over southeast half of area, until downward motions following 700
mb trof commence.

Much cooler conditions expected Wednesday with high temperatures
about 10 degrees Fahrenheit below normal, owing to morning clouds
and cold air advection.  Wednesday night and Thursday morning
should be dry, with next shortwave trof driving any remaining low-
level moisture east of the area.

Significant differences in model solutions by Thursday night,
with prediction of location of surface low development.  Have
stayed close to blended pops Friday onward, as next dynamic closed
mid-level low impacts the area.  Good opportunity for rain and a
few thunderstorms Friday through Saturday, with rain showers
possibly transitioning to snow showers Saturday night in northwest
part of forecast area.  Freezing temperatures possible Saturday
night and Sunday morning.  No pops Sunday through Monday
following departure of mid-level system.  03

Cockrell

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Moderate south to southwest winds will persist tonight, with elevated
fire weather conditions continuing well into the evening. A cold
front will move into the northeast half of the Combined Panhandles
on Tuesday. Moderately strong southwest winds ahead of the front
will lead to elevated fire weather conditions across the southern
Texas Panhandle on Tuesday. All locations will have an opportunity
for wetting rains Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. The front
will pass south of the area Tuesday night, with north and
northwest winds Tuesday night and Wednesday. Elevated fire weather
conditions may develop on Thursday across the western Texas
Panhandle.  03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                57  81  42  63  43 /   0   5  50  40   0
Beaver OK                  54  77  44  62  41 /   0  30  60  30   0
Boise City OK              54  70  38  61  40 /   0  40  60  20   0
Borger TX                  60  81  43  64  45 /   0  10  50  40   0
Boys Ranch TX              57  79  43  65  42 /   0   5  60  40   0
Canyon TX                  57  80  43  64  43 /   0   5  50  40   0
Clarendon TX               60  84  46  64  45 /   0   0  30  40   0
Dalhart TX                 53  75  42  63  40 /   0  20  60  30   0
Guymon OK                  54  75  42  63  42 /   0  30  60  20   0
Hereford TX                58  80  43  63  43 /   0   5  50  40   0
Lipscomb TX                56  82  45  61  42 /   0  10  50  40   0
Pampa TX                   59  82  41  61  43 /   0  10  50  40   0
Shamrock TX                58  86  47  63  43 /   0   5  30  40   0
Wellington TX              58  88  49  65  45 /   0   0  30  40   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

07/03



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