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000
FXUS64 KAMA 070131 AAB
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
731 PM CST THU MAR 6 2014

.UPDATE...
WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED SOMEWHAT AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE
BEGINNING TO RECOVER...AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO TONIGHT. HAVE
ALLOWED THE RFD TO EXPIRE ON SCHEDULE AT 7 PM. THE APPROPRIATE
PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.

ANDRADE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 543 PM CST THU MAR 6 2014/

AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z TAFS...PERIODS OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL PREVAIL
FOR THIS CYCLE. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS KGUY AND KDHT
FRI MORNING...THEN ACROSS KAMA AROUND 18Z FRIDAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED THROUGH 20Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON AT ANY OF THE TAF SITES. A FEW
SHOWERS MAY APPROACH KDHT NEAR OR AFTER 21Z FRIDAY. VFR CONDITIONS
ANTICIPATED THROUGH LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

ANDRADE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 232 PM CST THU MAR 6 2014/

DISCUSSION...
EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS TONIGHT...BUT THEN CLEARING FOR MOST OF THE
DAY ON FRIDAY.  CLOUDS INCREASE AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT IN POST-
FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT.  WARM CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...WITH
HIGHS ON SATURDAY IN THE LOWER- TO MID-40S.

HAVE RETAINED BASIC POP STRUCTURE FROM EARLIER FORECAST...WITH FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING OFFERING THE BEST OPPORTUNITIES FOR
PRECIPITATION.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW QUICK ERADICATION OF ANY WARM
LAYER ALOFT...SUGGESTING THAT FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET SHOULD NOT OCCUR
FOR ANY LENGTH OF TIME.  COLD AIR MOVES IN FROM NORTH...WITH SNOW
BEING POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF FORECAST AREA BY SATURDAY MORNING.
TOTALS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW ONE INCH MOST AREAS...WITH THE
NORTHWEST CORNER OF COMBINED PANHANDLES POSSIBLY REACHING OR
EXCEEDING ONE INCH.  PRECIPITATION MAY LINGER ACROSS SOUTHEAST HALF
OF FORECAST AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

MODELS VARY IN LATER PERIODS...BUT HAVE FOLLOWED ECMWF WITH TUESDAY
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.  HAVE SPREAD LOW POPS TUESDAY NIGHT A BIT
FARTHER SOUTH...WITH RAIN OR SNOW POSSIBLE.  03

COCKRELL

FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE
EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.  ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST TEXAS
PANHANDLE.  NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXECTED SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.  03

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$