Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 250515 AAC
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1115 PM CST WED DEC 24 2014

.AVIATION...
SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS CIRRUS ADVANCES FROM
WEST.  SURFACE WINDS BEGIN GUSTING INTO 25 TO 30 KT RANGE AROUND 15Z
OR 16Z THURSDAY.  SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS DIMINISH A BIT DURING THE
EVENING.  COLD FRONT ARRIVES IN NORTHERN PART OF FORECAST AREA AT THE
END OF THIS FORECAST...AROUND 06Z FRIDAY.  MEANWHILE...VFR FORECAST
CONTINUES NEXT 24 HOURS.

COCKRELL

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 719 PM CST WED DEC 24 2014/

UPDATE...
HAVE ADJUSTED FIRST PERIOD TEMPERATURE GRIDS...LOWERING MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES BY ABOUT 2 TO 6 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  REMAINDER OF
FORECAST LOOKS TO BE WELL ON TRACK.  UPDATED TEXT PRODUCTS WILL BE
ISSUED SHORTLY.

COCKRELL

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 514 PM CST WED DEC 24 2014/

AVIATION...
GOOD FLYING WEATHER EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND THURSDAY.  CIRRUS CLOUDS
WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST AND ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE ONLY
CLOUDS OF NOTE.  SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY BELOW 15 KT
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.  NO EARLY MORNING VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS
EXPECTED.  SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS EXPECTED TO GUST IN THE 25 TO 30
KT RANGE BEGINNING AROUND 15Z OR 16Z THURSDAY.  VFR FORECAST
CONTINUES NEXT 24 HOURS.

COCKRELL

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 339 PM CST WED DEC 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
CHRISTMAS EVE HAS BEEN A RATHER PLEASANT CHANGE FROM THE WINDS AND
SNOW YESTERDAY. HIGHS HAVE RISEN INTO THE UPPER 40S AND LOW 50S WITH
WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT
MOST OF THE REMAINING SNOW ACROSS THE PANHANDLES HAS MELTED.
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT LIGHT WINDS, CLEAR SKIES, AND LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S AND LOWER 30S WONT DELAY SANTA ON HIS TRIP. IT WONT FEEL LIKE
CHRISTMAS DAY AS TEMPERATURES SOAR INTO THE UPPER 50S AND MID 60S.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE A LITTLE BREEZY WITH WINDS UP TO 26 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.

OLD MAN WINTER WILL MAKE A QUICK RETURN AS A COLD FRONT DROPS ACROSS
THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES
AND NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE MAY NOT RISE ABOVE FREEZING FRIDAY.
THIS COLD FRONT WILL ALSO BRING OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR SNOW. THERE IS A
CHANCE FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF ICE PELLETS AT THE START OF THE PRECIP
BUT THE CHANGE OVER TO SNOW SHOULD QUICKLY FOLLOW AS THE ATMOSPHERE
COOLS. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN
TEXAS PANHANDLE. AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN AN INCH
HOWEVER THE EXTREME NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES
HAS A CHANCE TO BREAK THAT MARK. FOR NOW WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CIMARRON COUNTY.

DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY BEFORE ANOTHER SYSTEM BRINGS A CHANCE FOR SNOW AROUND THE
MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. PLACED SOME LOW POPS ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLES TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT HOWEVER THIS
CAN CHANGE AS WE GO FORWARD.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

03/16





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