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000
FXUS64 KAMA 252021
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
321 PM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Precipitation continuing across the far southeast Texas Panhandle at
this time, but expect that any light showers will end before 6 PM.
Thus, forecast will be dry tonight.  Clouds will be slow to clear
across southeastern sections, due to residual low-level moisture
closer to departing cold front.  Brisk northeast winds expected to
diminish quickly this evening.

Dry and uneventful weather expected Monday through Thursday as weak
flow aloft prevails as a result of mid-level ridge between closed 500
mb lows to the northeast and southwest of the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.  Two chilly mornings are on tap for Monday and Tuesday,
with very pleasant cloud-free afternoons both days.

Wednesday expected to be the warmest day of the forecast as it will
likely be the last clear day before mid- and high-level clouds begin
to increase.  By Thursday, southwest flow aloft resumes, with the
potential for Pacific moisture to be tapped.

Tropical Depression 18-E currently southwest of Baja California may
boost the mid-level moisture return for the forecast area during the
final half of the forecast.  Any low-level moisture return for the
area will likely have to take the western route, as it appears the
Texas gulf coast will remain closed for most of the week.

Thus, low pops kept for northwest half of combined Panhandles beginning
Thursday night, spreading farther southeast on Friday.  Friday night
may provide our best opportunity for showers and thunderstorms as
ensembles suggest that lee trof may sharpen and move well into
forecast area.  Low pops kept for mainly eastern and northeastern
sections Saturday and Saturday night, with Sunday kept dry for now.

Cockrell

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                46  72  48  76  52 /   5   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  44  75  44  83  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              41  72  44  79  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  48  74  48  80  52 /   5   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              46  74  47  79  51 /   5   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  47  72  47  75  51 /   5   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               50  73  49  78  53 /  10   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 43  74  44  80  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  43  75  45  83  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                46  72  46  76  50 /   5   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                46  75  45  82  48 /   5   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   46  73  47  79  51 /   5   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                50  74  47  80  52 /   5   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              52  76  49  81  52 /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

07/03