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000
FXUS64 KAMA 301005
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
405 AM CST SAT NOV 30 2013

.DISCUSSION...
A DRASTIC CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN IS IN STORE FOR THE
PANHANDLES FOR THIS UPCOMING WEEK. BUT BEFORE THIS OCCURS...GET OUT
AND ENJOY THE NEXT FOUR DAYS...BECAUSE COME THURSDAY..YOU WILL BE
WISHING FOR THEM BACK!

FOR TODAY...AN UNSEASONABLY WARM DAY IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE ENTIRE
PANHANDLE REGION AS MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MAKE ITS WAY ACROSS THE PANHANDLES LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TREK SOUTH THROUGH THE EVENING. NORTHERLY WINDS AND A
SLIGHT REINFORCEMENT OF COLDER AIR WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE FRONT
TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH HIGH TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE ABLE TO
RECOVER BACK TO NEAR 60 DEGREES.

FOR THE START OF THE WORK WEEK...UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION WITH HIGHS WELL IN THE 60S
TO EVEN LOWER 70S POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES
WILL GENERALLY REMAIN IN THE 30S AREA WIDE. TUESDAY COULD BE A BREEZY
DAY WITH STRONG SOUTHWEST AND WESTERLY WINDS DEVELOPING.

BY WEDNESDAY...THE FORECAST BEGINS TO INCREASE IN COMPLEXITY AS A
COLD FRONT ENTERS THE FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT.
THE HIGH TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY DEFINITELY HAS THE
POTENTIAL FOR BUST...AS THERE COULD BE A VERY SHARP GRADIENT IN
TEMPERATURES DEPENDING ON HOW FAR SOUTH THE ABOVE MENTIONED COLD
FRONT CAN TREK. HIGHS ONLY IN THE UPPER 30S COULD BE POSSIBLE IN
BEAVER OKLAHOMA WHILE HEREFORD TEXAS MAY SIT CLOSE TO 70 DEGREES.
WEDNESDAY COULD BE A PRETTY BREEZY DAY DEPENDING ON YOUR LOCATION
COMPARED WITH THE COLD FRONT.

THE COLD FRONT SHOULD COMPLETELY MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE RETURN OF WINTER MAKES ITS PRESENCE FELT A FEW
WEEKS BEFORE ACTUAL WINTER BEGINS. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ALONG WITH
AN ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL MAKE IT FEEL QUITE COLD ACROSS THE AREA
THURSDAY AND ESSENTIALLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SO PREPARE NOW FOR HIGH
TEMPERATURES STRUGGLING TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK AND LOWS EASILY
DIPPING INTO THE TEENS IF NOT LOWER.

MUCH UNCERTAINTY DOES EXIST FOR PRECIPITATION...AMOUNTS AND TIMING...
FOR THE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY TIME FRAME. AT THIS POINT...
MOISTURE LOOKS MINIMAL AT BEST FOR THE PANHANDLES AS THE AREA WOULD
HAVE TO OVERCOME QUITE A BIT OF DRY AIR. FOR NOW...BELIEVE THE BEST
CHANCES FOR ANY MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION WOULD BE THE THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MORNING PERIOD WHERE A MIX OF LIGHT SNOW/FREEZING DRIZZLE
WILL BE POSSIBLE. WITH THE LACK OF DEEP MOISTURE, NOT SURE IF ENOUGH
MOISTURE WILL EVEN BE PRESENT IN THE SNOW GROWTH REGION SO WE MAY BE
DEALING WITH ANOTHER FREEZING DRIZZLE SCENARIO. SO INCLUDED MENTION
OF SPRINKLES/FREEZING DRIZZLE/FLURRIES/LIGHT SNOW FOR THE
THURSDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT...AND FRIDAY TIME FRAME. OBVIOUSLY...THIS
WILL GET REFINED AS WE GET CLOSER IN TIME TO THIS SYSTEM IMPACTING
THE AREA...BUT REGARDLESS...LOOKS LIKE AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND
THE HIGHEST IMPACT WILL DEFINITELY BE THE COLD TEMPERATURES.

LOOKS LIKE WHATEVER MOISTURE REMAINING ACROSS THE AREA WILL QUICKLY
MOVE EAST BY FRIDAY NIGHT LEAVING THE WEEKEND DRY BUT UNSEASONABLY
COLD FOR NOW.

KNS

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED
THROUGH MONDAY AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE 20 PERCENT. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE ON TUESDAY. HOWEVER...RECENT
SNOWFALL AND ABOVE NORMAL FUEL MOISTURE WILL PRECLUDE ANY SIGNIFICANT
FIRE THREAT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                66  32  60  30  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
BEAVER OK                  64  30  58  28  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOISE CITY OK              63  29  58  31  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
BORGER TX                  66  34  63  33  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOYS RANCH TX              66  31  60  29  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
CANYON TX                  67  31  61  28  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLARENDON TX               67  36  63  33  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALHART TX                 64  27  57  25  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
GUYMON OK                  64  28  59  29  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
HEREFORD TX                67  32  62  27  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
LIPSCOMB TX                64  29  60  27  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
PAMPA TX                   64  32  59  32  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
SHAMROCK TX                66  32  64  29  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
WELLINGTON TX              67  36  64  31  67 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$