Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 290530 AAB
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1130 PM CST FRI NOV 28 2014

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/ NOT MUCH CHANGE TO PREVIOUS FORECAST THINKING. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST AT THE THREE TERMINALS. WINDS WILL GENERALLY
BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AT SPEEDS BETWEEN 10-15 KTS. WINDS CAN GUST
UP TO AROUND 25 KTS BY 16Z SATURDAY.

CLK

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 518 PM CST FRI NOV 28 2014/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/ VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE VALID TAF FORECAST
PERIOD AT THE TERMINALS. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST WITH
SPEEDS BETWEEN 10-15 KTS.

CLK

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 400 PM CST FRI NOV 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WHAT SHOULD BE A COLD LATE NOVEMBER DAY HAS TURNED INTO QUITE THE
WARM SPRINGLIKE DAY ACROSS THE PANHANDLES THIS AFTERNOON. IT IS NOT
OFTEN IN NOVEMBER THAT AMARILLO IS THE WARMEST SPOT IN THE LOWER 48
WITH A HIGH TEMPERATURE SO FAR OF 83F DEGREES! HIGH TEMPERATURE
RECORDS HAVE BEEN BROKEN AT DALHART...BORGER...AND AMARILLO TODAY.
WITH THE BULK OF WINTER REMAINING...SOAKING IN THIS UNUSUAL WARMTH IS
A DEFINITE MUST. BUT I HATE TO BREAK THE NEWS...WE HAVE ABOUT 48
HOURS LEFT UNTIL WINTER CRASHES OUR PARTY AND THE 80S WILL BE A
DISTANT MEMORY. LOWS TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE ABOVE FREEZING AREA
WIDE WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS STAYING UP OVERNIGHT.

SATURDAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY AS HIGH TEMPS WILL BE ANYWHERE
FROM 25 TO 30 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS. NOT QUITE SURE THE AREA
WILL HIT TODAY`S READINGS AS 850MB TEMPERATURES SEEM TO BE SLIGHTLY
COOLER...BUT UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S ARE STILL EXPECTED WITH A FEW
RECORD BREAKING TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE TOO. LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY
MORNING WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S.

BIG CHANGES CAN BE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY...BUT DEPENDING ON WHERE YOU ARE
LOCATED IN THE PANHANDLES...YOU MAY BE ABLE TO SNEAK IN ONE LAST
EXCEPTIONALLY WARM DAY. A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL MAKE ITS WAY INTO
THE AREA...AND THOSE THAT HAVE LIVED HERE LONG ENOUGH KNOW THAT
TIMING THESE FRONTS CAN BE QUITE THE HEADACHE! BEAVER COUNTY COULD
ONLY MAKE IT INTO THE 50S WHILE DEAF SMITH COUNTY COULD BE SITTING IN
THE UPPER 70S! SO NEEDLESS TO SAY...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY
DIFFICULT TO NAIL DOWN FOR SUNDAY WITH THAT KIND OF RANGE ACROSS THE
PANHANDLES. REGARDLESS, THE COLD FRONT WILL BE A DRY ONE WITH NO
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.

MONDAY WILL BE MUCH MUCH MUCH COLDER AS MORNING LOWS WILL BE IN THE
TEENS WHILE HIGHS HOVER AROUND THE FREEZING MARK. HOWEVER...A RAPID
WARM UP CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS HIGHS RECOVER BACK
INTO THE 50S AND 60S WITH ANOTHER WEAK BUT DRY COLD FRONT EXPECTED
LATE WEDNESDAY.

KNS

FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 6PM THIS
EVENING ACROSS THE WESTERN PANHANDLES. FOR SATURDAY...SOUTHWEST
WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED AS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALL WELL
BELOW 20 PERCENT...MAINLY WEST OF A LINE FROM SPEARMAN TO MEMPHIS.
ON SUNDAY...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE
SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE. NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

KNS

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$







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