Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 191112

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
512 AM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

VFR conditions expected to prevail for the next 24 hours. Light
winds this morning will increase around midday to around the 15kt
mark with gusts pushing 25kt. These winds are expected to diminish
around sunset and remain light through the overnight hours.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 325 AM CST Sun Nov 19 2017/

High pressure will dominate the area for the majority of the
forecast period. This will keep things fairly quiet weather wise,
today`s exception will be the elevated Fire Weather concerns (See
Fire Weather Discussion).

Highs on Monday will be in the 60s to lower 70s. Tuesday will be
in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Wednesday will be in the 60s, with
60s to lower 70s on Thursday.

An upper level trof will exit to the east with dry northwest flow
returning to the Panhandles. High pressure will begin to build over
the Baja Peninsula, and slowly amplify into mid week. Right now a
weak fast moving cold front may clip the Panhandles Monday night
into Tuesday, hence the slight decrease in temperatures from
Monday`s highs. Temperatures will continue to 3 to 7 degrees each
day through Friday, with highs on Friday topping out in the mid
70s. Saturday is still up in the air, for now will utilize the
cooler temperatures that Superblend suggests, with highs in the
mid 60s. However, latest guidance suggests that the upper level
high may strengthen and shift further east over the NM/TX/Mexico
border area by Saturday afternoon. This would keep the Panhandles
under a warmer airmass, versus the Superblend picking up on a
cold front in previous model runs. Thusly, highs on Saturday could
be much warmer than in the forecast, and in fact may be near to
slightly warmer than Friday. While some models indicate a nice
shopping weekend, there`s still a hint that cooler air and breezy
conditions may impact the Panhandles on Saturday or Sunday. Stay
tuned for updates.

Lee side surface trof will set up today, and southwest winds will
pick up into the 15 to 19 mph range, with gusts up to 25 mph.
Afternoon relative humidities will be in the 16 to 20 percent
range for the majority of the Panhandles. The exception would be
Wheeler, Donley, and Collingsworth Counties, as winds are only
expected to be 10 to 14 mph. A Fire Danger Statement has been
issued for all other areas, from 12 PM through 5 PM CST.



.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...



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