Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 221037
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
435 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SECONDARY SURGE BEHIND INITIAL COLD FRONT IS POISED TO MOVE INTO
NORTHWEST CORNER OF FORECAST AREA AT THIS TIME.  BREEZY NORTH AND
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY.  EXPECTING TEMPERATURES TODAY TO
REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS
BRINGING LIGHT PRECIPITAION AMOUNTS TO NORTHWEST AND WESTERN
SECTIONS OF PANHANDLES TODAY.

TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO FALL QUICKLY THIS EVENING...WITH THREAT
FOR LIGHT SNOW TO BECOME MIXED IN EARLY THIS EVENING IN NORTHWEST
PARTS OF FORECAST AREA.  BY 1 AM TUESDAY...EXPECT THAT AIRMASS WILL
HAVE COOLED SUFFICIENTLY FOR ALL LIGHT SNOW AREA-WIDE.  THAT BEING
SAID...NORTHEAST PART OF FORECAST AREA LOOKS LEAST LIKELY TO
RECEIVE ANY PRECIPITATION...WHILE EVEN IN THE MOST FAVORED
SOUTHWESTERN SECTIONS VERY LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE SNOW TOTALS TONIGHT BELOW ONE INCH.

PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TO END BY SUNRISE TUESDAY.  STRONG DYNAMICS
ALOFT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WINDY CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY AS NORTH
WINDS WILL LIKELY EXCEED 35 MPH WITH GUSTS ABOVE 50 MPH.  A WIND
ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS MAINLY WESTERN AND CENTRAL SECTIONS
OF THE PANHANDLES.  WITH CLOUDS REMAINING OVERHEAD...TUESDAY WILL
BE UNCOMFORTABLE...WITH HIGHS IN THE 35 TO 45 DEGREE RANGE...AND WITH
WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE 10 TO 25 DEGREE RANGE DURING THE MORNING.

NO PRECIPITATION IN REMAINDER OF FORECAST.  MODELS NOT IN GOOD
AGREEMENT DURING LATER PERIODS REGARDING TIMING OF UPPER-LEVEL FLOW
DEVELOPMENTS...SO FORECAST CERTAINTY FOR LATER PERIODS IS NOT HIGH.

COCKRELL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                52  28  38  22  49 /  10  50   5   0   0
BEAVER OK                  53  29  37  22  48 /   5  10   5   0   0
BOISE CITY OK              49  25  36  19  49 /  30  30   5   0   0
BORGER TX                  54  31  39  24  50 /  10  30   5   0   0
BOYS RANCH TX              53  27  38  21  50 /  20  50   5   0   0
CANYON TX                  53  28  38  22  49 /  10  50   5   0   0
CLARENDON TX               55  31  42  29  50 /   0  30   5   0   0
DALHART TX                 52  25  37  17  49 /  20  50   5   0   0
GUYMON OK                  53  27  38  21  50 /  10  20   5   0   0
HEREFORD TX                53  27  38  21  49 /  10  60   5   0   0
LIPSCOMB TX                54  30  38  26  48 /   0  10   5   0   0
PAMPA TX                   53  29  39  25  48 /   5  20   5   0   0
SHAMROCK TX                56  32  43  30  49 /   0  20   5   0   0
WELLINGTON TX              58  34  45  33  51 /   0  20   5   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

17/03




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