Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 182128
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
328 PM CST Sat Nov 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Models and ensembles in good agreement regarding mid-level pattern
for the upcoming days.  No precipitation expected through
Saturday.  No strong wind events expected.

As shortwave trof departs quickly to our southeast, surface winds
will quickly diminish early this evening.  Dry northwest to near-
zonal flow will prevail through Sunday night.  Mid level heights
increase to our west as Great Basin ridge amplifies Monday through
at least Wednesday.  Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles will
experience dry northwest flow Monday through at least Thursday.
Gulf of Mexico remains closed through at least Wednesday.  Thus,
dry and mostly cloud-free conditions expected through this
forecast.

Clear and cold nights expected tonight and Sunday night.
Developing lee trof on Sunday induces southwest winds with high
temperatures slightly above normal.  Monday sees highs about 10
degrees Fahrenheit above normal as a pre-frontal trof moves into
northwest and north-central sections.  A cold front Monday night
brings Tuesday highs close to normal.  Gradual warming trend then
expected through Friday, when highs climb 10 to 15 degrees above
normal.  Another cold front Friday night cools Saturday highs to
near climo.  03

Cockrell

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Light north winds early this evening will become light and
variable before midnight.  On Sunday, dry southwest winds will
resume, with elevated fire weather conditions likely to develop
during the afternoon across most of the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.  Light to moderate west and southwest winds are
expected on Monday.  A pre-frontal trof will move into northwest
and north-central sections of the Combined Panhandles Monday
afternoon, bringing northwest winds.  A cold front Monday night
will result in moderate north winds on Tuesday.  No elevated or
critical fire weather conditions are expected Monday through
Saturday.  No excessive winds are expected Monday through
Saturday.  03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                28  61  33  70  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  24  62  31  68  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              26  59  30  70  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  30  63  36  71  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              28  63  32  71  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  27  61  32  71  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               29  62  34  70  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 25  60  29  70  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  26  62  31  70  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                25  60  31  71  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                25  62  34  68  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   27  60  34  67  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                28  62  34  69  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              30  63  34  70  38 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

07/03



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