Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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713
FXUS64 KAMA 242355 AAA
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
655 PM CDT Mon Jul 24 2017

.AVIATION...
For the 00Z TAFs, latest crop of showers and tstms should diminish
in coverage and intensity shortly after sunset this evening. Have
retained VCTS at KAMA until around 02Z based on latest radar
imagery. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail at the terminal
sites through late Tuesday afternoon.

Andrade

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 417 PM CDT Mon Jul 24 2017/

DISCUSSION...

Noteworthy items for the forecast continue to be
showers/thunderstorm chances with Tuesday/Tuesday night the only
real widespread dry period as far as chances go. We currently
have 15-20 percent chances for the afternoon on Tuesday and dry
that night, but outside of this every period has at least slight
chances for rainfall. Overall, temperatures will be right "around"
normal to perhaps even slightly below normal in some areas
through the extended.

At 20Z, satellite shows developing CU across the forecast area with
several diurnally driven showers/thunderstorms across the forecast
area, mainly in the Texas Panhandle. Pulsing nature in the storms
has already been noted and will likely continue through daytime
heating. Storms are not expected to last near/after sunset. With
little shear to work with these storms are basically collapsing
themselves as the updraft forms. Severe weather is not expected,
but certainly very localized moderate to heavy rainfall will be
possible with the slow moving nature of the storms, as well as
possible gusty winds around 40-50 mph when they collapse.

Moving into the rest of the forecast, several chances for
thunderstorms exist basically each period through Sunday. Severe
weather still doesn`t look likely, especially in the near term. We
would need a pattern change and that just doesn`t look likely. Any
storms that form will have little shear to work with and will
likely be pulse storms and diurnally driven, which makes sense for
this time of year.

Guerrero

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$



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