Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
583
FXUS64 KAMA 251031
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
531 AM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Weather across the OK and TX Panhandles should be rather tranquil
today and tonight as brief upper level ridging translates across
the srn high plains.

The next storm system slated for Sunday appears to be tracking
just a bit further south compared to previous model runs, with
the 00Z NAM model the farthest south with the projected path.
The majority of the models do continue to suggest the primary
precipitation shield will likely remain north and east of the TX
and OK Panhandles. However, given the possibility of a slightly
further southern track to this storm system, have opted to spread
pops southward on Sunday afternoon to encompass all of the OK
Panhandle as well as the far northern TX Panhandle. A dry cold
front will also track through the area on Sunday with northwest
to north winds in the breezy category.

A short break in the active weather pattern is anticipated Monday.
Another vigorous upper level low pressure system is forecast to
impact the srn high plains Tuesday through Wednesday night.
Medium range models continue to disagree some on the projected
path and speed of this particular storm system. Have continued to
lean towards a model consensus with all weather elements
associated with this storm system pending better model agreement.

Finally, medium range models are hinting at yet another upper
level low pressure system possibly affecting the OK and TX
Panhandles late next Friday and Saturday, the details of which
have yet to be ironed out.

Andrade

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                69  43  73  39  70 /   0   0   5   5   0
Beaver OK                  66  40  70  39  68 /   0   0  30  20   0
Boise City OK              67  38  63  34  68 /   0   0  20   5   0
Borger TX                  71  46  74  42  72 /   0   0  10   5   0
Boys Ranch TX              71  41  72  37  71 /   0   0   5   5   0
Canyon TX                  70  42  73  38  71 /   0   0   5   0   0
Clarendon TX               71  44  77  42  72 /   0   0   5   5   0
Dalhart TX                 70  38  67  35  70 /   0   0  20   5   0
Guymon OK                  68  40  67  37  69 /   0   0  20  20   0
Hereford TX                71  41  73  37  71 /   0   0   5   0   0
Lipscomb TX                68  41  74  41  69 /   0   0  20  20   0
Pampa TX                   69  43  74  41  70 /   0   0   5   5   0
Shamrock TX                71  44  78  43  72 /   0   0   5   5   0
Wellington TX              73  45  80  45  73 /   0   0   5   5   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.