Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
FXUS64 KAMA 050527 AAB
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1127 PM CST Sun Dec 4 2016
For the 06Z TAFs, little change to previous Aviation AFD reasoning.
Generally benign weather is expected for this fcst cycle. Some high
level clouds are foreseen on occasion. A cold front will move across
the region later Monday afternoon and evening with winds becoming
north. Overall, VFR conditions are anticipated at all terminal sites
through late Monday evening.
.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 536 PM CST Sun Dec 4 2016/
For the 00Z TAFs, benign weather expected for this fcst cycle. Some
high level clouds on occasion. A weak surface trof of low pressure
will move across KGUY and KDHT during the mid to late afternoon hours
on Monday with winds becoming north-northwest to north. Overall, VFR
conditions are anticipated at all terminal sites through late Monday
PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 338 PM CST Sun Dec 4 2016/
No major changes from earlier forecast. One final warm day expected
on Monday with highs mainly in the lower- to mid-60s.
First cold front arrives Monday evening, causing Tuesday maxima to be
held to the upper-30s to mid-40s. Strong jet streak and associated
very dynamic system drives arctic cold front through forecast area
Strong large-scale ascent along and north of jet streak could cause
development of light snow Tuesday night and Wednesday, particularly
across the northeast half of the combined Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles.
Strong winds with cold front could also produce areas of blowing snow.
High temperatures on Wednesday expected to remain below freezing
across northern one-third of forecast area. Massive surface ridge
extending into Panhandles from northwestern Alberta Thursday morning
expected to bring coldest conditions of the season with low
temperatures Thursday morning near zero Fahrenheit in northwest to
the mid-teens in the southwest. Thursday maxima expected to remain
below freezing over all but southern Texas Panhandle.
Huge surface ridge moves east of area on Friday, allowing highs to
reach the lower- to mid-40s. Warmup continues into the weekend,
with highs near normal on Saturday and Sunday. 03
Briefly elevated fire weather conditions may develop Monday afternoon
across the southwest Texas Panhandle. No elevated or critical fire
weather conditions are expected Tuesday through Sunday. 03