Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 192129
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
429 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE FIRST FEW PERIODS OF THE FORECAST REMAIN THOSE OF MOST
INTEREST...BUT RAIN CHANCES CERTAINLY WON`T LEAVE THE PANHANDLES AS
WE MOVE INTO NEXT WEEK.

THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY IN THE SW TX
PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SYNOPTIC FORCING FOR ASCENT IS
PRETTY MINIMAL...BUT PRECIP EFFICIENCY IS PEGGED AT ABOUT THE MAX
FOR THE AREA GIVEN THE TROPICAL NATURE. WHAT WOULD SEEMINGLY BE
LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS ON RADAR ARE SPITTING OUT A HALF INCH OF
RAIN IN 20 MINUTE INTERVALS AS THEY PASS. HAVE THEREFORE LEFT THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF THE SW TX PANHANDLE, WHERE THE
SHOWERS ARE MOST WIDESPREAD THIS AFTERNOON. THINK THAT THE LATE
AFTERNOON/EVENING TIMEFRAME IS WHEN WE WILL SEE MOST OF OUR RAIN
FROM THIS EVENT. THINK ANY FLASH FLOODING WILL BE PRETTY LOCALIZED.

SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS PERIOD AS MOISTURE REMAINS
DEEP AND PLENTIFUL. A GENERAL LACK OF FORCING MEANS AFTERNOON HOURS
SHOULD BE SLIGHTLY MORE FAVORED THAN OTHERS...THOUGH THE WEEK WILL
BE NO MEANS BE A WASHOUT. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR OR BELOW
SEASONAL AVERAGES FOR MOST OF THE WEEK AS CLOUD COVER WILL BE QUITE
NOTICEABLE.

SIMPSON
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                63  79  62  78  61 /  60  50  30  30  40
BEAVER OK                  66  87  65  82  60 /  20  30  20  20  20
BOISE CITY OK              61  83  61  78  59 /  20  20  20  20  20
BORGER TX                  65  84  65  81  63 /  50  40  30  30  30
BOYS RANCH TX              63  82  63  81  62 /  60  40  30  30  40
CANYON TX                  64  78  62  79  61 /  60  50  30  30  40
CLARENDON TX               66  81  65  82  63 /  60  60  30  30  30
DALHART TX                 62  81  61  79  60 /  40  30  20  30  30
GUYMON OK                  64  86  63  81  61 /  30  30  20  20  20
HEREFORD TX                63  77  62  77  61 /  60  50  30  40  40
LIPSCOMB TX                65  85  65  82  61 /  30  30  20  30  20
PAMPA TX                   64  81  64  80  62 /  50  50  30  30  30
SHAMROCK TX                67  84  66  84  63 /  50  50  30  30  30
WELLINGTON TX              67  85  67  86  64 /  50  60  30  30  30

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: DEAF SMITH...OLDHAM...POTTER...RANDALL.

OK...NONE.

&&

$$

08/09





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