Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 312043
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
343 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE PANHANDLES AND WEST TEXAS
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...AND WILL THEN BEGIN MOVING EAST AWAY FROM
THE PANHANDLES WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. ISOLATED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLES
TONIGHT...AND MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES
TUESDAY ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE. SHORTWAVE TROUGH
WILL APPROACH THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE WEST THIS EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY HELPING TO INITIATE ANY CONVECTION. DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS SUBSIDENCE PREVAILS BEHIND THE DEPARTING
UPPER TROUGH AND AS THE UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN AND MOVES OFF TO THE
EAST. ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES THE PANHANDLES BY THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY...AND OTHER UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST BY
LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.

FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND CENTRAL PLAINS
STATES BY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AND THEN STALLS JUST NORTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA. SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS ON THE FRONT OVER THE LEE OF THE
ROCKIES TUESDAY WITH A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTH OF THE LOW INTO
EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE WESTERN PANHANDLES. THIS SURFACE TROUGH
WILL MEANDER ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE WESTERN PANHANDLES
THROUGH LATE THIS WEEK AND THE UPCOMING WEEKEND WHICH WILL HELP TO
INITIATE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS MAINLY THE WESTERN
HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA LATE THIS WEEK...SPREADING EAST ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS WEEKEND.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                64  92  66  90  65 /   5   5   5   5   5
BEAVER OK                  66  94  69  94  69 /   5  10  10   5   5
BOISE CITY OK              62  90  63  93  62 /  20  20  10  10  10
BORGER TX                  68  93  71  94  69 /   5   5   5   5   5
BOYS RANCH TX              64  94  66  94  66 /   5  10   5   5   5
CANYON TX                  64  92  64  90  64 /   5   5   5   5   5
CLARENDON TX               65  91  66  91  65 /   0   0   5   5   5
DALHART TX                 61  92  65  95  63 /  10  20  10   5  10
GUYMON OK                  64  94  67  95  66 /   5  10  10   5   5
HEREFORD TX                63  92  64  91  66 /   5   5   5   5   5
LIPSCOMB TX                68  94  69  92  68 /   5   5  10   5   5
PAMPA TX                   63  90  66  90  67 /   5   5   5   5   5
SHAMROCK TX                69  94  68  92  67 /   0   0   5   5   5
WELLINGTON TX              69  94  68  93  68 /   0   0   5   5   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

14/11



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