Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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825
FXUS64 KAMA 050042 AAA
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
642 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z TAFS...A SFC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TERMINAL
SITES FRIDAY MORNING WITH GUSTY NORTH WINDS IN ITS WAKE. NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

ANDRADE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016/

DISCUSSION...
NOT A LOT TO GET EXCITED ABOUT REGARDING WEATHER ACROSS THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.  NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED.

CURRENT CONFLUENT NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE INTERRUPTED BY BRIEF
SHORTWAVE RIDGING TONIGHT.  SHORTWAVE TROF WILL IMMEDIATELY FOLLOW
..MOVING THROUGH FORECAST AREA FRIDAY.  THESE COUPLED FEATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...
PARTICULARLY ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS.  MOSTLY CLEAR SKY EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL FRIDAY NIGHT AND BEYOND.

NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SETS UP AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING.  BY SUNDAY...A
HIGH-AMPLITUDE RIDGE BEGINS BUILDING OVER THE WESTERN U.S. AND
CANADA.  MEDIUM-RANGE MODELS AND ENSEMBLES AGREE THAT HIGHLY-
AMPLIFIED FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY.  THIS PATTERN
OFFERS LITTLE...IF ANY...CHANCE FOR MOISTURE RETURN.  OCCASIONAL
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGES ALSO EXPECTED TO OCCUR.  DAILY MAXIMA EXPECTED
TO REMAIN WITHIN TEN DEGREES FAHRENHEIT OF CLIMO THROUGH TUESDAY.

FLOW BEGINS TO FLATTEN SLIGHTLY BEGINNING WEDNESDAY...WITH WARMER
CONDITIONS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.  03

COCKRELL

FIRE WEATHER...
A COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE WINDS TO SHIFT TO NORTH ON FRIDAY.  IN SPITE
OF INCREASING SPEEDS...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 20
PERCENT.  SOUTHWEST WINDS ON SATURDAY RESUME...WITH BRIEF ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLY DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE.  NORTH WINDS ON
SUNDAY...MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL NOT BE DRY ENOUGH TO PRODUCE
ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS . DRY SOUTHWEST WINDS
RETURN ON WEDNESDAY...BUT NO STRONG WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED.  LIGHT
TO MODERATE NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. 03

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$



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