Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 032042
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
342 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SITUATION CONTINUES TO SET UP FOR A HEAVY RAIN EVENT THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.  UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
ADVANCING INTO NORTHWEST PART OF FORECAST AREA EXPECTED TO INDUCE
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF MID-LEVEL TROF.  CURVATURE IN TIGHT 700 MB
CIRCULATION EXPECTED TO GENERATE VORTICITY LOBES WHICH WILL TRAVERSE
PANHANDLES THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  LOWER LEVELS WILL BE
MOISTENED FURTHER BY DEVELOPMENT AND STRENGTHENING OF LOW-LEVEL JET
TONIGHT.  ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE COMPLEX IS LIKELY TO MAKE A NORTHWEST
TO SOUTHEAST MOVE ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT.  SUCH A
COMPLEX COULD TAKE ON A LINEAR STRUCTURE...WITH AN INCREASED THREAT
FOR DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS.

DUE TO RECENT COPIOUS RAINFALL AMOUNTS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WHICH WAS
ISSUED EARLIER TODAY REMAINS IN EFFECT AREA WIDE FROM 4 PM TODAY
THROUGH 10 AM TUESDAY.  FULLY EXPECT TO CLEAR MOST OF AREA FROM WATCH
BY SUNRISE TUESDAY...BUT MAY STILL HAVE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING IN
EASTERN SECTIONS AFTER DAYBREAK.

OTHERWISE...MOSTLY UNEVENTFUL WEATHER EXPECTED. DRY FORECAST TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY WITH LOW POPS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS.

COCKRELL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                66  92  68  95  71 /  60   5   5   5   5
BEAVER OK                  68  92  68  96  71 /  80  20  10   5   5
BOISE CITY OK              63  91  64  95  68 /  70   5   5   5   5
BORGER TX                  69  94  71  97  73 /  60   5   5   5   5
BOYS RANCH TX              67  95  69  98  71 /  60   5   5   5   5
CANYON TX                  65  94  68  97  70 /  50   5   5   5   5
CLARENDON TX               68  95  71  99  73 /  60   5   5   5   5
DALHART TX                 66  94  66  96  68 /  70   5   5   5   5
GUYMON OK                  66  92  67  97  70 /  80  10   5   5   5
HEREFORD TX                66  94  68  97  69 /  50   5   5   5   5
LIPSCOMB TX                70  94  70  99  72 /  80  20  10   5   5
PAMPA TX                   67  92  69  96  71 /  70  10   5   5   5
SHAMROCK TX                69  95  70 100  73 /  70  20   5   5   5
WELLINGTON TX              70  97  71 102  74 /  60  20   5   5   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...COLLINGSWORTH...DALLAM...DEAF
     SMITH...DONLEY...GRAY...HANSFORD...HARTLEY...HEMPHILL...
     HUTCHINSON...LIPSCOMB...MOORE...OCHILTREE...OLDHAM...
     POTTER...RANDALL...ROBERTS...SHERMAN...WHEELER.

OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BEAVER...CIMARRON...TEXAS.


&&

$$

88/03




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