Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 272147
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
347 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SNOW ROUND ONE HAS WRAPPED UP AND NOW ITS TIME TO GEAR UP FOR SNOW
ROUND TWO.

ROUND TWO STARTS UP LATE TONIGHT AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
MOVES OUT OF THE FOUR CORNERS REGION AND INITIATES SNOW ACROSS THE
NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO PLAINS. THIS SNOW WILL ENTER THE FAR WESTERN
CORNER OF THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING BEFORE SPREADING AREA WIDE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. FOR THIS AREA 1-2 INCHES OF
STORM TOTAL SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE WHILE THE REST OF THE AREA SHOULD
REMAIN BELOW 1 INCH BY NOON SATURDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL
BE RAISED FOR THE NORTHERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES STARTING
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH NOON SATURDAY.

TEMPERATURES ALOFT WARM SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO BRING IN A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY TO PRECIPITATION TYPE FOR THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT
HOURS. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT WE WILL SEE A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW
FOR THE I-40 CORRIDOR AND SOUTH WHILE WE HOLD ONTO SNOW NORTH OF THE
CORRIDOR DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES ALOFT
CONTINUE TO WARM TO WHERE SNOW LOOKS UNLIKELY AREA WIDE AND THE
THREAT OF A LIGHT RAIN/FREEZING RAIN MIX BECOMES MORE LIKELY. THERE
IS THE POSSIBILITY OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS BUT THEY SHOULD REMAIN BELOW
A TENTH OF AN INCH.

AFTER THIS FIRST STORM SYSTEM MOVES EAST OF THE REGION...A CLOSED LOW
WILL DEVELOP OFF THE SRN CA COAST THIS WEEKEND. PNHDLS WILL BE IN SW
FLOW ALOFT WITH MODERATING TEMPS FORESSEN. ALSO...ANY PRECIPITATION
THAT FALLS SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING WIL LIKELY BE A
WINTRY MIX OF EITHER LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE...LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN...OR LIGHT SLEET. BY MONDAY AFTERNOON ENOUGH WARM AIR WILL BE
PRESENT SUCH THAT PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE ALL LIQUID.

THEN...A FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM AND ITS ATTENDANT SFC COLD
FRONT IS SLATED TO IMPACT THE TX AND OK PNHDLS NEAR THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK...WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND PERHAPS SOME LIGHT WINTER
PRECIPITATION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                13  33  31  45  25 /  30  30  20  20  20
BEAVER OK                  15  30  25  35  23 /  60  80  30  20  20
BOISE CITY OK              13  32  27  33  21 /  60  30  20  20  30
BORGER TX                  15  33  32  42  26 /  40  40  20  20  20
BOYS RANCH TX              16  36  30  42  24 /  40  30  20  20  20
CANYON TX                  14  34  32  45  25 /  30  30  20  20  20
CLARENDON TX               15  30  27  45  27 /  30  30  20  20  20
DALHART TX                 14  35  29  36  23 /  50  30  20  20  20
GUYMON OK                  13  33  27  35  23 /  60  50  30  20  30
HEREFORD TX                14  37  31  47  26 /  30  30  20  10  20
LIPSCOMB TX                16  29  28  38  24 /  40  70  30  20  20
PAMPA TX                   14  30  27  40  25 /  40  40  20  20  20
SHAMROCK TX                17  30  27  43  28 /  30  50  30  20  20
WELLINGTON TX              17  32  30  45  29 /  30  40  30  20  20

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON CST
     SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: DALLAM...HANSFORD...
     HARTLEY...HEMPHILL...HUTCHINSON...LIPSCOMB...MOORE...
     OCHILTREE...ROBERTS...SHERMAN.

OK...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON CST
     SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BEAVER...CIMARRON...TEXAS.


&&

$$







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