Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 141032
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
432 AM CST Tue Nov 14 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Low clouds and patchy fog have developed once again across much of
the OK and TX Panhandles as well as surrounding locations outside
our fcst area. Once sunrise occurs, expect the fog and low clouds
to erode as the morning progresses. Well above normal temperatures
are expected today with record highs possibly in jeopardy at KAMA,
KBGD, and KDHT in which the record high at each location is 80,
81, and 80 degrees respectively.

Otherwise, the overall upper level pattern continues to be a dry
one for the srn high plains through next Tuesday. Periodic cold
frontal passages are expected to impact the area during the next 7
days. However, no precipitation is foreseen. The first cold front
will move across the region tonight with cooler temperatures in
store for Wednesday followed by another quick warmup on Thursday
and Friday.

Medium range models continue to differ some on timing of a second
cold frontal passage and its associated vigorous upper level
shortwave trof for late this week. The 00Z GFS has trended a bit
more towards the slower 00Z ECMWF but is still faster. The GFS
now brings the front across the fcst area late Friday afternoon
and evening while the ECMWF tracks it through the region Friday
night. This far out in time, have continued to side with an
average model consensus on timing and temperatures for Friday.
Nevertheless, no matter what medium range model one looks at, the
main impacts from the associated upper level shortwave trof are
forecast to remain north of the OK and TX Panhandles, with dry
slotting expected for the srn high plains at this time. Once this
particular cold front moves south of the area, cooler temperatures
are anticipated for the upcoming weekend, moderating again by
Monday. A third cold front may affect the OK and TX Panhandles
next Tuesday.

Andrade

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Elevated fire weather conditions are likely Friday afternoon
across the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles due to breezy to windy
conditions along with forecast minimum relative humidity values
near 20 percent.

Andrade

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                80  45  62  38  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  74  42  60  36  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              79  39  57  36  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  81  47  63  41  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              81  43  62  36  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  80  45  62  38  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               77  48  63  41  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 81  40  59  34  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  78  40  59  36  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                80  44  62  37  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                74  45  61  37  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   77  46  61  39  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                75  49  63  43  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              76  50  64  45  72 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$



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