Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 252203
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
403 PM CST THU DEC 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

AN ACTIVE UPR AIR PATTERN WILL RESULT IN AT LEAST SOME SLIGHT SNOW
CHANCES FRI-FRI NIGHT AND AGAIN MON NIGHT-TUE. OTHERWISE...DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH INCREASING PROBABILITIES FOR A VERY
COLD AIR DUMP NEXT TUE-WED.

RAMPED UP SNOW CHANCES OVER THE FAR NW PANHANDLES TMRW AS SHRTWV
ENERGY SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO KICK OUT SOME FLAKES IN SPITE OF AN
INITIALLY DRY COLUMN. CAN`T RULE OUT A BIT OF FRZ DRIZZLE OR SLEET,
BUT SNOW SHOULD BE THE MAIN PTYPE BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT WILL PASS
IN THE MORNING. UP TO AN INCH OR SO WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS LIKE
BOISE CITY, KENTON, AND MAYBE GUYMON OR DALHART.

STRONG WRLY FLOW ALOFT SHOULD KEEP US DRY BUT KEEP MID AND HIGH
CLOUDS STREAMING FROM THE ROCKIES OFF AND ON FOR SAT-MON TIMEFRAME.
TEMPS WILL REMAIN SEASONALLY COOL THESE DAYS WITH SUN THE WARMEST.

THE COLDEST AIR WE`VE SEEN SINCE MAYBE MID NOVEMBER STILL APPEARS TO
BE ON THE WAY FOR TUE-WED AS H85 TEMPS ARE PROGGED TO BE AROUND -20C
BY TUE NIGHT IN THE ECMWF/GEM AND ONLY SLIGHTLY WARMER IN THE
GFS/GEFS. IF THE COLDER SOLUTIONS PAN OUT...THIS WOULD MEAN HIGHS IN
THE TEENS FOR MANY ON TUE. SOME MODERATION IS EXPECTED MIDWEEK, BUT
THERE ARE SIGNS THIS COULD BE THE BEGINNING OF A PROLONGED COLDER
THAN NORMAL PERIOD...WE`LL KEEP OUR EYES ON IT.

SIMPSON
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

PATCHY ONGOING ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EASE BY SUNSET.
COLDER AIR SHOULD KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITIES PREDOMINATELY ABOVE 20
PERCENT FOR THE NEXT WEEK.

SIMPSON
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                35  37  16  33  15 /   0  20  20   5   0
BEAVER OK                  25  34  16  34  16 /   0  20  30  10   0
BOISE CITY OK              21  25  11  31  15 /  10  50  20   5   0
BORGER TX                  39  38  17  37  19 /   0  20  20   5   0
BOYS RANCH TX              26  37  17  35  16 /   0  30  20   5   0
CANYON TX                  32  42  16  34  14 /   0  20  20   5   0
CLARENDON TX               37  51  20  36  19 /   0  10  20   5   0
DALHART TX                 23  31  11  32  11 /   5  30  20   5   0
GUYMON OK                  23  31  13  34  15 /   5  30  20   5   0
HEREFORD TX                29  45  16  35  13 /   0  20  20   5   0
LIPSCOMB TX                29  39  19  35  16 /   0  20  30  10   0
PAMPA TX                   33  39  17  32  18 /   0  20  20   5   0
SHAMROCK TX                35  48  22  37  19 /   0  10  20  10   0
WELLINGTON TX              36  53  25  39  20 /   0  10  20  10   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

14/09





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