Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 291218 AAA
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
718 AM CDT WED OCT 29 2014

.AVIATION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AROUND 10 KNOTS TODAY. WINDS WILL THEN
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND A COLD FRONT AT DHT AND GUY BEHIND A
COLD FRONT EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE COLD FRONT WILL NOT QUITE
REACH THE AMA TAF SITE BY THE END OF THIS FORECAST. SKIES WILL REMAIN VFR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 429 AM CDT WED OCT 29 2014/

DISCUSSION...
CLEAR SKIES HAVE RESULTED IN ANOTHER COOL...FALL LIKE MORNING ACROSS
THE PANHANDLES. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY.

COLD FRONT STILL PROGGED TO COME THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING AND
REMAIN DRY...WITH MAINLY JUST A SHIFT TO NORTHERLY WINDS AND LOW
TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO NEAR FREEZING ACROSS THE WESTERN OKLAHOMA
AND TEXAS PANHANDLES. MAX TEMPERATURES ON HALLOWEEN WILL STRUGGLE TO
REACH THE LOW 60S. BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
WEEKEND AS A TROUGH FORMS IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES AND HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES EAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.

NEXT COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE PANHANDLES ON MONDAY...WITH 00Z MODEL
RUNS IN CLOSER AGREEMENT TO TIMING AND CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION.
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW NEAR THE SURFACE WILL
PROVIDE SOME MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF
THE CWA WHERE BETTER CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED.
INSTABILITY WARRANTS THE MENTION OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY
AND INTO MONDAY NIGHT. STILL SOME DIFFERENCES IN MODELS WITH HOW
LONG THE FRONT LINGERS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.

CE

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

15/18





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