Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
519
FXUS64 KAMA 220923
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
423 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Surface low over southwest Kansas with a surface trough extending
south off the caprock across the eastern portions of the Texas and
Oklahoma Panhandles. Abundant low level moisture across the
forecast area with dew points in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Upper
high over the southwestern states will allow for an active
northwesterly flow pattern across the Panhandles today through the
weekend. Shortwave trough forecast to drop south and east out of
northern/northeastern New Mexico and southern/southeastern
Colorado by 18Z today and then tracks into the Panhandles by 00Z
Friday. Convection will likely develop over the higher terrain and
mountains of Colorado and New Mexico by 21Z today which will
propagate into the western Oklahoma and northwest Texas Panhandles
between 21Z today and 00Z Friday. Convection will spread across
the remainder of the forecast area this evening and tonight as
they continue moving south and east. Some storms likely becoming
strong to severe this afternoon and evening.

Cold front to push into the Panhandles tonight and early Friday as
additional shortwave troughs track into the forecast area
overnight tonight. Convection should continue through the weekend
although severe potential Friday and over the weekend not as
likely as today and earlier, however heavy rainfall potential and
possible flooding concerns may increase by the weekend. Model
soundings indicate PWATs of 1.2 to 1.4 inches by Friday and Friday
night which are in the 90th to Max percentile for June 22 and
June 23. Not as hot behind the front Friday and over the weekend
and should be below normal for late June with highs mainly in the
70s and low 80s Friday through Sunday. Warmer conditions again for
the early half of next week with precip chances on the decrease
early next week and drier conditions expected by the middle of
next week.

Schneider

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                98  67  82  59  76 /  10  40  30  30  30
Beaver OK                 101  66  78  59  78 /  20  40  30  10  10
Boise City OK             100  62  74  56  75 /  30  40  20  20  20
Borger TX                 102  69  82  62  79 /  10  40  20  30  20
Boys Ranch TX             103  68  83  60  80 /  20  40  20  30  30
Canyon TX                  99  67  83  59  77 /   5  40  20  40  40
Clarendon TX               96  68  85  60  76 /   5  40  30  40  30
Dalhart TX                101  65  78  58  77 /  20  30  20  20  30
Guymon OK                 102  65  77  58  77 /  20  40  20  10  20
Hereford TX               100  68  84  59  78 /   5  40  20  30  40
Lipscomb TX                99  68  81  60  78 /  10  40  30  10  10
Pampa TX                   98  68  80  60  76 /  10  40  30  20  20
Shamrock TX                97  70  86  61  78 /   5  30  30  30  20
Wellington TX              98  71  89  63  79 /   5  30  30  40  30

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

24/11



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.