Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 200921
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
421 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms have continued moving across the Panhandles
overnight in connection with the front and the upper level trough. As
the trough moves east and the front pushes further south into Texas,
the precip will move away also. A push of dry air in the mid levels
will keep the area dry for Sunday as ridging begins to build in. Mid
level heights will rise till Monday and then fall slightly as a
shortwave approaches the region. This shortwave will bring chances
for precip back to the area for Tuesday. Models start diverging from
Tuesday onward with the timing of the next upper level trough
passage and an associated cold front. For now, have gone with a model
blend and timed the front out for Wednesday. Expect precip ahead and
behind the Pacific front similar to the current frontal passage.
Storms that form from Monday through the end of the week are expected
to remain below severe levels as CAPE will be weak to moderate but
shear will be weak. The main threat will be localized flooding since
storms may be slow moving due to the weak flow.

Beat

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                77  59  81  60  85 /  20   5   5  10  20
Beaver OK                  78  54  86  62  89 /   5   0   5   5  10
Boise City OK              75  59  82  60  85 /  10   5  10  10  10
Borger TX                  80  64  85  63  89 /  10   5   5   5  20
Boys Ranch TX              80  58  85  61  90 /  20   5  10  10  20
Canyon TX                  78  56  82  60  86 /  20   5  10  10  20
Clarendon TX               80  57  83  62  85 /  20   5   5  10  20
Dalhart TX                 78  60  84  60  88 /  10   5  10  10  10
Guymon OK                  79  61  86  62  89 /   5   5   5   5  10
Hereford TX                78  56  83  60  89 /  30   5  10  20  20
Lipscomb TX                80  56  86  61  89 /  10   0   5   5  20
Pampa TX                   79  58  85  60  87 /  20   5   5   5  20
Shamrock TX                81  55  85  62  86 /  20   5   5   5  20
Wellington TX              82  56  86  63  88 /  20   5   5  10  30

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

11/16



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