Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 270907
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
407 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE MOST ACTIVE DAY
WILL BE TOMORROW AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH FORCES A COLD FRONT INTO THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA. AT LEAST WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD FORM
THIS AFTERNOON NEAR AND AHEAD OF A WEAK LEE TROUGH IN NORTHEAST NEW
MEXICO BUT BETTER CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE EAST INTO TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA UNTIL AFTER 00Z. WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND WEAK
INSTABILITY WILL LIMIT THUNDERSTORM INTENSITY. WEAKENING COLD FRONT
SHOULD BE POSITIONED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE ON FRIDAY AND SLOWLY MOVING SOUTH. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THIS BOUNDARY THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS GENERALLY AGREE ON RISING MID LEVEL
HEIGHTS...DRY CONDITIONS...AND A GRADUAL WARMING PATTERN THROUGH THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. RIDGE SHIFTS SLIGHTLY EAST AND WEAKENS
BY MID WEEK AND DEEPER MOISTURE ENCROACHES ON THE FAR WESTERN
PORTION OF THE AREA BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES.

BRB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                93  66  88  63  90 /  20  30  20  10   5
BEAVER OK                  97  66  88  62  91 /  20  50  10   5   0
BOISE CITY OK              93  63  85  59  90 /  40  40   5   5   5
BORGER TX                  96  68  91  63  92 /  20  40  20  10   5
BOYS RANCH TX              96  66  90  62  91 /  20  40  20  10   5
CANYON TX                  94  66  89  64  90 /  20  30  20  20  10
CLARENDON TX               97  68  92  66  91 /   5  20  20  20   5
DALHART TX                 93  63  86  59  91 /  30  40  10   5   5
GUYMON OK                  95  65  88  61  91 /  30  50   5   5   0
HEREFORD TX                93  65  87  64  89 /  20  30  20  20  10
LIPSCOMB TX                98  68  90  63  91 /  10  50  20  10   0
PAMPA TX                   95  65  88  64  89 /  10  30  20  20   5
SHAMROCK TX                98  69  92  65  92 /   5  20  20  20   0
WELLINGTON TX              99  70  95  67  94 /   5  20  20  20   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

11/17


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