Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 272055
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
355 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...

AN AMPLIFIED PATTERN WITH NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS
BETWEEN WESTERN CONUS RIDGE AND EASTERN CONUS TROUGH EXISTS TODAY.
ASIDE FROM SOME THIN CIRRUS CLOUDS CONDITIONS WERE MOSTLY CLEAR AND
DRY AND THIS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE UPPER FLOW
PATTERN WILL GRADUALLY DEAMPLIFY WITH THE FIRST OF ONLY TWO NOTABLE
MID/UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGHS PASSING TO OUR NORTH ON SUNDAY. THIS
WILL FORCE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA BRINGING SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY. AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH DURING THE
MORNING HOURS WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHERLY AND INCREASE TO AROUND 20
MPH OR HIGHER FOR A PERIOD BEFORE SUBSIDING LATE IN THE EVENING.
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE EXPERIENCED THROUGH THE ENTIRE
FORECAST PERIOD WITH THE WARMEST DAYS EXPECTED TO BE TOMORROW AND
WEDNESDAY.

THE SECOND OF TWO SHORTWAVES WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA ON
TUESDAY AND THERE WILL BE A LOW PROBABILITY FOR ISOLATED CONVECTION
ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. MEDIUM RANGE
GUIDANCE IS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT ON LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MOVING
NORTHWARD WITHIN SOUTHERLY FLOW AND THIS SCENARIO WOULD BE
SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED CONVECTION TO FORM. ONE WEDNESDAY THE LEE
TROUGH/DRYLINE LOOKS TO SHIFT EAST INTO OKLAHOMA.

BRB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                42  83  48  75  42 /   0   0   0   0   5
BEAVER OK                  43  84  47  72  41 /   0   0   0   0   5
BOISE CITY OK              43  81  47  68  39 /   0   0   0   0   5
BORGER TX                  46  85  51  73  43 /   0   0   0   0   5
BOYS RANCH TX              42  84  46  73  42 /   0   0   0   0   5
CANYON TX                  39  83  46  75  41 /   0   0   0   0   5
CLARENDON TX               43  86  48  80  43 /   0   0   0   0   5
DALHART TX                 39  84  46  69  40 /   0   0   0   0   5
GUYMON OK                  41  83  47  70  40 /   0   0   0   0   5
HEREFORD TX                38  84  44  75  40 /   0   0   0   0   5
LIPSCOMB TX                45  83  49  73  40 /   0   0   0   0   5
PAMPA TX                   42  83  48  74  42 /   0   0   0   0   5
SHAMROCK TX                42  85  48  80  42 /   0   0   0   0   5
WELLINGTON TX              46  87  51  82  45 /   0   0   0   0   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

18/17





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