Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43
000
FXUS64 KAMA 220502
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1102 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2018

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions to prevail for the majority of the 06Z TAF cycle.
There is a small chance for low clouds to briefly enter KGUY for
an hour or two while KDHT and KAMA remain VFR. Northerly winds are
expected to persist through the overnight winds in the 10 kt to
20 kt range with gusts up to 30kt. After 14Z tomorrow, we will see
stronger winds aloft mix to the surface. These gusts could reach
near the 40kt mark. Have kept them just below for know.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 445 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2018/

DISCUSSION...
The upper level low has moved from the four corners area to the
northwest corner of the Panhandles. The tight pressure gradient
has provided another windy day for the area; however, not as windy
as expected and so have cancelled wind highlights after 6 PM,
except for Beaver County tonight which could still see some breezy
conditions. The low will skim over the northern Panhandles and
place the area in northwest flow aloft. As the low lifts eastward,
ridging will begin to fill into the western CONUS and maintain the
dry northwest flow through the remainder of the week.

By midweek, a mid-level shortwave slowly moving across northwest
Mexico, which may or may not close off depending on the model,
will begin to lift northeasterly towards the area. As high
pressure shifts eastward over the Great Plains, the shortwave
will get picked up by the main flow and get dragged across the
southern Panhandles. These two features will allow us to have
southwest flow aloft, but we will be unlikely to see any precip.
The next longwave trough makes its way quickly into the area on
Friday and returns the northwest flow aloft.

Beat

FIRE WEATHER...
Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible for portions to
all of the combined Panhandles for Monday afternoon. Then on
Wednesday, there is a brief possibility for elevated conditions in
the western Panhandles. On Thursday, most of the area could see
elevated to briefly critical conditions, and Friday afternoon will
be similar. A cold front will move through Friday night and cause
a wind shift as well as raise RH values for the weekend.

Beat

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...Wind Advisory until 5 AM CST Monday for the following zones:
     Beaver.


&&

$$

14



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.