Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KAMA 290821
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
321 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
EARLY THIS MORNING. WATER VAPOR SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS PLENTY OF UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ACROSS THE PANHANDLES AHEAD OF SHORT WAVE TROUGH
OVER EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO. SURFACE TROUGH IS ALSO
DRIFTING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE PANHANDLES WHICH IS HELPING TO PROVIDE
LOW LEVEL LIFT TO THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST COLORADO AND NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO IN THE
WEAK UPSLOPE FLOW AT THE SURFACE. THE UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS FROM THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES SHORT WAVE WILL ALSO PROVIDE SUPPORT FOR THESE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO SLIDE
SOUTHWARD ACROSS MUCH OF THE PANHANDLES LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTHWARD.

THERE MAY BE SOME LINGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE PANHANDLES SATURDAY IN THE POST FRONTAL
AIR MASS.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STARTS TO BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES ON
SUNDAY. THIS WILL PUT THE PANHANDLES IN A LIGHT NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.  HAVE INSERTED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE WEST FOR ANY MOUNTAIN
CONVECTION THAT MIGHT MAKE INTO OUR AREA SUNDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHTS.

UPPER RIDGE THEN SHIFTS EASTWARD WEDNESDAY AND IT SHOULD BE OVER
THE SOUTHEAST U.S. BY THE END OF THIS FORECAST. ANOTHER UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH WILL DROP INTO THE WESTERN U.S. AND THE PANHANDLES
WILL AGAIN BE UNDER A SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. WILL NOT INSERT ANY
PRECIPITATION INTO THE FORECAST FOR NOW UNDER THIS SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT AS THERE MAY BE A CAP ALOFT WHICH MAY KEEP CONVECTION DOWN.
ALSO...MOISTURE MAY BE IN QUESTION.

TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY RISE TO NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL BY TUESDAY
AND THEN THEY SHOULD STAY NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL ON THROUGH THE REST OF
THIS FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                79  54  71  53  76 /  30  40  20   5   5
BEAVER OK                  80  55  70  52  79 /  30  30   5   5   5
BOISE CITY OK              76  50  68  52  81 /  30  60  20   5   5
BORGER TX                  80  57  72  55  79 /  30  40  20   5   5
BOYS RANCH TX              79  56  72  54  81 /  30  50  20   5   5
CANYON TX                  79  55  71  53  77 /  30  50  20   5   5
CLARENDON TX               80  56  72  54  75 /  30  40  20   5   5
DALHART TX                 77  53  71  53  80 /  30  60  20   5   5
GUYMON OK                  79  54  70  53  79 /  30  40  10   5   5
HEREFORD TX                80  55  72  53  78 /  30  60  20   5   5
LIPSCOMB TX                78  56  69  53  76 /  30  30  10   5   5
PAMPA TX                   77  54  69  53  75 /  30  40  20   5   5
SHAMROCK TX                80  58  71  54  76 /  30  30  20   5   5
WELLINGTON TX              82  59  74  57  77 /  30  40  20   5   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

17/15





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.