Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 142300 CCA
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
600 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Once the cold front makes its way through the region, as
described in the Update section of the Forecast Discussion, mostly
clear skies with tranquil weather conditions will dominate the
forecast period. Mid level northwesterly flow due to a building
anticyclonic 500 hPa flow centered over the Baja peninsula for
the first half of next week will continue to bring large scale
upper level convergence over the Panhandles. The mid level flow will
become more zonal toward the middle to end of next week as a
deepening upper level trough makes it way into the northern
California coastline. Going forward into next weekend, latest 14/12Z
global models begin to diverge into next weekend, in which several
days out is to be expected. Some model outputs does bring our next
chance of rainfall into the region starting the second half of next
weekend, but this will be further diagnosed as we get closer with
time. Temperatures throughout the week should be at or slightly above
average throughout the forecast period.

Meccariello

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                39  62  37  70  43 /  10   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  39  63  35  73  43 /  10   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              35  60  36  72  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  41  66  40  72  43 /  10   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              39  63  36  73  42 /   5   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  40  62  36  71  42 /  10   5   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               42  65  39  69  43 /  30   5   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 37  62  35  72  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  38  64  37  72  42 /   5   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                40  61  34  70  41 /  10   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                42  64  35  72  42 /  10   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   40  60  36  69  43 /  10   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                44  67  38  70  42 /  30   5   0   0   0
Wellington TX              47  69  40  70  43 /  40   5   0   0   0

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1234 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017/

UPDATE...
Although the general forecast is on track for the isolated to
scattered showers to move through the Panhandles, post frontal
winds have been bumped higher, and timing has sped up from the
previous forecast. Right now the line of showers is expected to
impact the southern and eastern Panhandles. The western Panhandles
look like they may be on the dry side of things. It looks like
the front will be completely through the Panhandles and exit to
the southeast by 10pm this evening, and therefore POPs have been
removed thereafter, with a trend toward clearing skies. Winds will
be quite breezy with sustained 25 to 35 mph winds expected for a
few hours. Right now winds look like they will remain below
advisory criteria, but will look into this closer and issue
another update if things change.

Weber

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

89/29



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