Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 020850
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
350 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...
MORE OF THE SAME THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...BREEZY SOUTH WINDS, WARM
TEMPERATURES, AND MONSOON MOISTURE BRINGING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS TO PARTS OF THE AREA.

NOT MUCH NEW TO TALK ABOUT THIS MORNING...AS THE PERSISTENT PATTERN
OF LATE LOOKS TO HANG ON FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. AN UPPER-LEVEL
RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS
EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH AN UPPER LOW DIGGING ALONG THE COAST OF BC.
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BETWEEN THESE TWO UPPER AIR FEATURES CONTINUES
TO BRING MONSOON MOISTURE ACROSS THE DESERT SW AND SOUTHERN
ROCKIES...SPILLING INTO THE WESTERN PANHANDLES. SIMILAR TO THE PAST
FEW DAYS...THE EASTERN EXTENT OF THIS MOISTURE PLUME WILL CLIP THE
NORTHWEST PANHANDLES TODAY. WILL THUS LIKELY SEE ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP IN THESE AREAS ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE PANHANDLES REMAIN DRY.
PERSISTENT LEE SURFACE TROUGHING WILL SUPPORT BREEZY SOUTH WINDS
AGAIN TODAY...HELPING TEMPS CLIMB ABOVE EARLY SEPTEMBER AVERAGES INTO
THE LOW TO MID 90S.

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY THE MONSOON PLUME LOOKS TO GET REJUVENATED BY
MOISTURE EMANATING FROM A TROPICAL DEPRESSION SOUTH OF THE BAJA
PENINSULA. MOST OF THIS MOISTURE WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE PANHANDLES
ON THURSDAY...WITH ONLY FAR WESTERN AREAS NEAR THE NM STATE LINE
SEEING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER BY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...THE MOISTURE
PLUME WILL MAKE FURTHER EASTWARD PROGRESS INTO THE AREA AS SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT STRENGTHENS DOWNSTREAM OF THE DIGGING UPPER LOW OVER THE
PAC NW/GREAT BASIN/NORTHERN ROCKIES. THIS WILL SPREAD ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FARTHER EAST INTO THE
PANHANDLES...WITH THESE CHANCES LINGERING THROUGH THE WEEKEND IN
TANDEM WITH THE MONSOON PLUME.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL THEN TRY TO PUSH INTO THE AREA ON LABOR DAY
AS THE PARENT UPPER LOW EJECTS EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS...POSSIBLY PROVIDING A LITTLE BETTER FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ANOTHER STRONGER FRONT MAY PUSH THROUGH AROUND
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER JET REMAINS FAIRLY ACTIVE ACROSS
SOUTHERN CANADA/NORTHERN U.S.

KB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                91  66  91  67  90 /   5   5  10  10  10
BEAVER OK                  95  70  95  70  94 /  10   5   5   5  10
BOISE CITY OK              93  65  93  64  89 /  20  20  20  20  30
BORGER TX                  94  70  94  70  92 /  10   5   5  10  10
BOYS RANCH TX              95  66  94  67  92 /   5   5  10  10  20
CANYON TX                  91  64  92  65  90 /   5   5  10  10  10
CLARENDON TX               93  65  92  66  91 /   5   0   5   5  10
DALHART TX                 95  65  94  65  90 /  10  10  20  20  20
GUYMON OK                  95  68  94  68  93 /   5  10  10  10  20
HEREFORD TX                92  64  91  65  90 /   5   5  10  10  10
LIPSCOMB TX                94  69  94  70  93 /   5   0   5   5   5
PAMPA TX                   92  68  91  68  91 /  10   0   5   5  10
SHAMROCK TX                94  67  93  68  92 /   5   0   5   5   5
WELLINGTON TX              95  67  94  69  94 /   0   0   5   5   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

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