Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 190925
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
325 AM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will dominate the area for the majority of the
forecast period. This will keep things fairly quiet weather wise,
today`s exception will be the elevated Fire Weather concerns (See
Fire Weather Discussion).

Highs on Monday will be in the 60s to lower 70s. Tuesday will be
in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Wednesday will be in the 60s, with
60s to lower 70s on Thursday.


An upper level trof will exit to the east with dry northwest flow
returning to the Panhandles. High pressure will begin to build over
the Baja Peninsula, and slowly amplify into mid week. Right now a
weak fast moving cold front may clip the Panhandles Monday night
into Tuesday, hence the slight decrease in temperatures from
Monday`s highs. Temperatures will continue to 3 to 7 degrees each
day through Friday, with highs on Friday topping out in the mid
70s. Saturday is still up in the air, for now will utilize the
cooler temperatures that Superblend suggests, with highs in the
mid 60s. However, latest guidance suggests that the upper level
high may strengthen and shift further east over the NM/TX/Mexico
border area by Saturday afternoon. This would keep the Panhandles
under a warmer airmass, versus the Superblend picking up on a
cold front in previous model runs. Thusly, highs on Saturday could
be much warmer than in the forecast, and in fact may be near to
slightly warmer than Friday. While some models indicate a nice
shopping weekend, there`s still a hint that cooler air and breezy
conditions may impact the Panhandles on Saturday or Sunday. Stay
tuned for updates.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Lee side surface trof will set up today, and southwest winds will
pick up into the 15 to 19 mph range, with gusts up to 25 mph.
Afternoon relative humidities will be in the 16 to 20 percent
range for the majority of the Panhandles. The exception would be
Wheeler, Donley, and Collingsworth Counties, as winds are only
expected to be 10 to 14 mph. A Fire Danger Statement has been
issued for all other areas, from 12 PM through 5 PM CST.

Weber

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z Issuance...All sites will remain VFR through the next 24
hours. Southerly winds will remain light tonight and pickup during
the day with gusts up to 25kts.

Beat

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                61  34  69  39  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  63  32  67  36  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              59  32  68  35  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  63  36  69  42  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              64  33  70  38  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  61  33  69  37  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               62  35  68  41  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 61  31  70  39  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  62  32  69  38  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                61  32  70  38  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                63  36  67  40  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   61  35  67  40  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                62  35  67  38  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              63  35  68  38  63 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

89/99



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