Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 202143
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
343 PM CST Fri Jan 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
No big changes to the going forecast.  Wind advisory will remain in
place through 6 PM for much of Texas Panhandle as strong winds aloft
continue to mix to the surface.

Have confined Saturday morning pops to southwest part of Texas
Panhandle only, as forcing from incoming shortwave trof approaches
late in the morning.  Have increased pops, particularly in the east
and north parts of the Combined Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles for
Saturday afternoon, and have added the mention of thunder.  Increasing
instability, strong dynamics, steepening lapse rates and sharpening
baroclinicity along advancing boundary should support at least
isolated thunder.

Pops for rain retained Saturday evening across all but far southwest
part of forecast area, which should be most removed from moisture and
forcing.  Mention of snow late Saturday night has been retained for
that 6-hour period only, with possibility of same included primarily
for locations on the Caprock.  Any snow amounts expected to remain
below one inch.  Moderately strong northwest winds expected late
Saturday night and into Sunday due to tight pressure gradient in
post-frontal airmass.

Dry conditions thereafter.  Winds begin to increase again on Monday,
and then increase further on Tuesday as next shortwave trof and
associated cold front approach.

Above-normal high temperatures expected daily through Tuesday,
followed by colder conditions Wednesday and Thursday.  Slight warmup
expected on Friday.  03

Cockrell

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
No elevated or critical fire weather conditions expected through
Friday due to relative humidity values remaining above necessary
thresholds.  Windy conditions today and Tuesday may cause an
increase in fire spread potential.  03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                35  57  33  55  32 /   0  20  30   0   0
Beaver OK                  29  57  32  54  27 /   0  30  50   0   0
Boise City OK              28  52  27  51  27 /   0  20  40   0   0
Borger TX                  36  58  36  56  32 /   0  30  30   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              35  57  30  56  31 /   0  20  30   0   0
Canyon TX                  36  58  32  55  31 /   0  20  20   0   0
Clarendon TX               37  61  36  57  34 /   0  30  30   0   0
Dalhart TX                 31  54  29  54  28 /   0  20  30   0   0
Guymon OK                  30  55  31  53  28 /   0  30  40   0   0
Hereford TX                36  57  32  56  32 /   0  20  20   0   0
Lipscomb TX                33  60  37  55  29 /   0  30  50   0   0
Pampa TX                   35  58  34  54  32 /   0  30  30   0   0
Shamrock TX                36  63  38  58  32 /   0  30  30   0   0
Wellington TX              37  65  38  60  33 /   0  30  30   5   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for the following
     zones: Armstrong...Carson...Dallam...Deaf Smith...Hartley...
     Moore...Oldham...Potter...Randall.

OK...None.

&&

$$

07/03


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