Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 182021
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
321 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS NOW JUST MOVING ON SHORE IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.
THIS FEATURE LOOKS FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE ON THE SATELLITE AND IS PUMPING
A LOT OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. IT
WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE ONCE THIS SYSTEM GETS INTO THE UPPER AIR
GRID ON WHAT THAT DATA WILL DO TO THE MODELS. THE MODELS SEEM A
LITTLE DRY OVER OUR AREA...ESPECIALLY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT
GIVEN THE VIGOROUS SYSTEM. AT ANY RATE...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL
SLOWLY MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST U.S. AND THEN IT WILL OPEN
UP AS IT MOVES ACROSS NEW MEXICO AND THE PANHANDLES ON SUNDAY. A
COUPLE OF MINOR SHORT WAVE TROUGHS MAY MOVE OUT AHEAD OF THE LARGER
UPPER TROUGH WHICH COULD HELP TO SET OFF SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE AREA AS THE MAIN TROUGH MOVES
ACROSS THE PANHANDLES. A SURFACE TROUGH AND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE PANHANDLES ON SUNDAY WHICH WILL ALSO PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR
PRECIPITATION DEVELOPMENT.

THE WEATHER LOOKS DRY BEYOND SUNDAY NIGHT AS ANY NEW SYSTEMS MISS US
TO THE NORTH. WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE IN STORE
ALONG WITH INCREASING WINDS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THE EASTER WEEKEND GIVEN THE CHANCES OF RAIN. WINDS WILL INCREASE
AND THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DECREASE BY THE MIDDLE PART OF
NEXT WEEK WHICH COULD BRING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO
PARTS OF THE PANHANDLES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                51  73  53  74  50 /   0  20  30  20  20
BEAVER OK                  50  79  54  79  51 /   0  20  30  30  20
BOISE CITY OK              49  77  49  74  49 /   0  20  30  30  20
BORGER TX                  52  78  56  76  53 /   0  20  30  30  20
BOYS RANCH TX              51  76  52  79  51 /   0  20  30  20  20
CANYON TX                  50  73  52  75  49 /   0  20  30  20  20
CLARENDON TX               51  75  55  76  55 /   0  20  30  30  20
DALHART TX                 47  74  47  76  47 /   0  20  30  20  20
GUYMON OK                  49  80  50  77  51 /   0  20  30  30  20
HEREFORD TX                49  70  50  76  48 /   0  20  30  20  20
LIPSCOMB TX                51  76  55  76  55 /   0  20  30  30  20
PAMPA TX                   49  73  53  73  52 /   0  20  30  30  20
SHAMROCK TX                50  76  56  75  55 /   0  20  30  40  20
WELLINGTON TX              50  77  56  76  56 /   0  20  30  40  20

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

17/15



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