Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 130927
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
427 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2014

.DISCUSSION...
LOW CLOUDS SHOULD DISSIPATE BY AFTERNOON AND WINDS WILL COME
AROUND TO A MORE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION. THE ADDED SUNSHINE AND
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL HELP TO WARM THE PANHANDLES UP SOME 15 TO 20
DEGREES OVER YESTERDAY/S AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL WARM ANOTHER 10 TO 15 DEGREES OVER
TODAY/S HIGHS. THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE THAT A SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM COULD FORM OVER THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON OR SUNDAY NIGHT. ADDED MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY MAY HELP TO PRODUCE THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS. FOR NOW
ADDED JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN FOR THIS POSSIBILITY.

RAIN CHANCES MAY INCREASE FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES
ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL ALSO PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE
PANHANDLES MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WHICH WILL ALSO HELP TO
ENHANCE THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM POSSIBILITIES. SUB TROPICAL
MOISTURE WILL ALSO BE CAUGHT UNDER THE RIDGE TO OUR WEST...SO IT WILL
ALMOST LOOK LIKE A LATE SUMMER TIME PATTERN WITH DAILY MOUNTAIN
CONVECTION MOVING THIS WAY...ESPECIALLY BEHIND THE FRONT AS A RETURN
FLOW DEVELOPS.

HAVE LEFT THE FORECAST DRY BEYOND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS CONFIDENCE
IN THE MODELS DECREASES.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK GIVEN THE CHANCES OF RAIN AND THE ELEVATED RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                66  53  80  58  82 /  10   5  20  10  20
BEAVER OK                  70  53  86  61  82 /   5   5  10  10  20
BOISE CITY OK              72  53  85  56  73 /   5   5   5   5  20
BORGER TX                  69  56  84  62  84 /  10   5  20  10  20
BOYS RANCH TX              70  55  83  59  82 /  10   5  10  10  20
CANYON TX                  65  53  80  58  82 /  10   5  20  10  20
CLARENDON TX               67  54  82  61  83 /  10   5  20  20  20
DALHART TX                 71  52  83  56  78 /   5   5  10  10  20
GUYMON OK                  72  53  86  59  79 /   5   5  10  10  20
HEREFORD TX                66  53  79  56  81 /  10   5  20  10  20
LIPSCOMB TX                68  53  84  62  84 /   5   5  10  10  20
PAMPA TX                   67  54  81  60  83 /  10   5  20  20  20
SHAMROCK TX                67  55  81  62  85 /  10   5  20  20  20
WELLINGTON TX              69  56  82  63  85 /  10   5  20  20  20

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

08/15




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