Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 220501
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1201 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2014

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF CYCLE
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY. EAST TO SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY BY 15Z TUESDAY AND
INCREAWSE TO AROUND 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 KNOTS AFTER
15Z TO 16Z TUESDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN 15 TO 20 KNOTS AS A LOW LEVEL
SOUTHERLY JET DEVELOPS AFTER 00Z WEDNESDAY.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 628 PM CDT MON APR 21 2014/

AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE
ISOLATED CONVECTION EARLY THIS EVENING MAY IMPACT THE AMARILLO TAF
SITE UNTIL 02Z TUESDAY...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY. SOME PATCHY LOWER CLOUDS MAY DEVELOP AT ALL
THREE TAF SITES LATER TONIGHT...AFTER 10Z TUESDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS 5
TO 15 KNOTS WILL VEER AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH BY 12Z
TUESDAY. THE SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AFTER 14Z TO 16Z TUESDAY
TO AROUND 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS NEAR 30 KNOTS.

SCHNEIDER

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 PM CDT MON APR 21 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HAVE ONLY MADE A FEW CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.  WEDNESDAY STILL LOOKS
TO BE THE DAY OF CONCERN WITH SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.

NO POPS TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AS AIRMASS REMAINS STABLE IN WAKE OF
WEAK COLD FRONT.

HAVE INTRODUCED SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST CORNER OF
FORCAST AREA TUESDAY EVENING...AS SHORTWAVE TROF IN SOUTHWEST FLOW
ENCOUNTERS INCREASING INSTABILITY WEST OF DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL JET.

WEDNESDAY POPS ALONG AND EAST OF DRYLINE HAVE BEEN INCREASED
SLIGHTLY IN FAR EASTERN ZONES.  HAVE ALSO SPREAD LOW POPS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO NORTHERN ZONES AS SHARP BAROCLINIC ZONE DROPS INTO
FORECAST AREA.

DRY THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.  HAVE RETAINED LOW POPS EAST ON
SATURDAY AS DRYLINE SETS UP.  HAVE TRIMMED FRIDAY NIGHT POPS FROM
WEST DUE TO EXPECTED POSITION OF DRYLINE.  SUNDAY LOOKS TO HAVE THE
POTENTIAL FOR US TO BE DRY-SLOTTED.  HAVE REMOVED POPS FROM
SOUTHWEST AND WESTERN SECTIONS.  03

COCKRELL

FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES.  A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR THE
WESTERN ONE THIRD OF THE PANHANDLES.  ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS MAINLY
WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES.  03

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...
     HARTLEY...MOORE...OLDHAM...POTTER...RANDALL...SHERMAN.

OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CIMARRON.


&&

$$

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