Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 211141 AAA
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
641 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.UPDATE...
UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION.../12Z TAFS/
KAMA...FOG AND LOW CLOUDS HAVE IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY SO EXPECT
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. VCSH/VCTS
COULD DEVELOP AND POTENTIALLY IMPACT THE TERMINAL BETWEEN 16Z-23Z
ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE OF OCCURRING IS TOO LOW TO INTRODUCE ANY
RESTRICTIONS AT THIS TIME.

KDHT AND KGUY...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS ALTHOUGH CANNOT RULE OUT VCSH/VCTS OCCURRING BETWEEN
15Z-22Z.

KNS

&&

.DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014/

A COLD FRONT LOCATED ACROSS THE NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SLOWLY SOUTH TODAY. SOME LOW CLOUDS
AND PATCHY FOG WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING UNTIL AROUND
15Z OR SO TODAY ACROSS MAINLY THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA
BY TONIGHT AS A COOL SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS SOUTHWEST INTO THE
PANHANDLES. THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL BRING SOME DRIER AND MORE STABLE
AIR INTO THE PANHANDLES FROM THE NORTHEAST ALLOWING FOR ANY
CONVECTION TODAY TO END FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST TONIGHT. AN UPPER
RIDGE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE PANHANDLES TODAY AND TONIGHT WHICH WILL
DEAMPLIFY MONDAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE ROCKIES EARLY
THIS WEEK. THIS SHOULD KEEP A FAIRLY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK WITH CHANCES FOR CONVECTION
POSSIBLE THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF THE WEEK. THE UPPER FLOW
TRANSITIONS TO NORTHWESTERLY BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS THE UPPER
RIDGE REBUILDS OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN REGION. A SURFACE LOW AND
ASSOCIATED TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES BY TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL DEEPEN BY MID WEEK. BREEZY DOWNSLOPING
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TUESDAY AND AGAIN POSSIBLY BY FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A SEASONABLY COOL AND WET WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE END OF THIS
WEEK AND INTO THE NEXT WEEKEND WILL RESULT IN NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: DEAF SMITH...RANDALL.

OK...NONE.

&&

$$




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