Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 020728
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
228 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.DISCUSSION...
STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE WILL LIFT NORTH
AS A WARM FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AS A SURFACE LOW TRACKS FROM THE
SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE NORTHEAST. WILL CONTINUE WITH THE SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS FOR THE NORTHEAST CWA WHERE THE BEST MOISTURE WILL
COMBINE WITH THE BEST LIFT. LOW CLOUDS ALONG WITH SOME FOG WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT THIS MORNING.

AFTER TODAY...WILL LEAVE THE FORECAST DRY THROUGH THURSDAY AS
UPPER HEIGHTS INCREASE WHEN THE NOSE OF THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES
THIS WAY FROM THE EAST.

BY THURSDAY NIGHT THE UPPER RIDGE WILL START TO BREAK DOWN AND
CHANCES OF RAIN WILL GO UP. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE BY THURSDAY NIGHT WHICH SHOULD SERVE AS A
FOCUS FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

THIS COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AS IT SLOWLY PUSHES SOUTH THROUGH THE
PANHANDLES FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. SUB TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL BE
BROUGHT OVER THE PANHANDLES IN A SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND LIFT
WILL INCREASE AS SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE OVER THE
REGION FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

WE COULD SEE A DRYING TREND BY MONDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE TRIES TO
MOVE BACK OVER THE REGION.

HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE TRICKY TODAY AS IT WILL BE HARD TO FORECAST
JUST WHEN THE LOW CLOUDS WILL BURN OFF. FOR NOW WILL KEEP THE
"COOLEST" TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE NORTHWEST WHERE THE CLOUDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BREAK THE LATEST.

HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE TRICKY TO FORECAST ONCE THE RAIN
SETS IN FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IF SOME AREAS REMAIN IN THE
CLOUDS WITH RAIN ON ONE OF THOSE DAYS...THEN HIGHS MAY NOT GET OUT
OF THE 70S...BUT IF SUNSHINE CAN BREAK THROUGH LONG ENOUGH...IT
WILL NOT BE TOUGH FOR TEMPERATURES TO RISE INTO THE 80S.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THIS WEEK. WINDS WILL GET STRONGER WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...BUT
LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE 20
PERCENT FOR THE MOST PART. FUELS WILL REMAIN OUT OF CRITICAL
RANGES AS WELL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                94  69  94  67  92 /   5  10   5   5   5
BEAVER OK                  90  71  98  72  95 /  20  10  10   5   5
BOISE CITY OK              88  65  94  65  91 /   5   5  10   5  10
BORGER TX                  95  72  97  71  96 /   5  10   5   5   5
BOYS RANCH TX              93  69  95  69  93 /   5   5   5   5   5
CANYON TX                  93  67  93  66  91 /   5   5   5   5   5
CLARENDON TX               96  68  94  68  93 /   5  10   5   5   5
DALHART TX                 91  65  96  64  93 /   5   5   5   5   5
GUYMON OK                  90  68  99  69  95 /   5  10  10   5   5
HEREFORD TX                94  66  93  64  91 /   5   5   5   5   5
LIPSCOMB TX                92  72  95  71  93 /  20  10  10   5   5
PAMPA TX                   93  68  94  67  92 /  10  10   5   5   5
SHAMROCK TX                94  71  94  70  93 /  10  10   5   5   5
WELLINGTON TX              96  73  95  73  94 /  10  10   5   5   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

02/15



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