Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 292031
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
331 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and some low topped thunderstorms continue to move southeast
across the eastern Panhandles. The precipitation is associated with
an upper level trough along the central TX/OK Panhandle border as
seen with the latest visible satellite observations with Cu`s in the
eastern Panhandles and drier air aloft in the western Panhandles.
Latest surface and 500 hPa observations shows a second trough out to
the west across NM with upslope flow and a residual outflow boundary
will slowly makes it way east into the western Panhandles. Some
additional showers and thunderstorms are possible this evening into
tonight across the Panhandles and will dissipate by Saturday
morning.

As we go into the second half of Saturday through mid next week, an
upper level high pressure system will move back east into the region
and bring tranquil weather conditions and very warm temperatures to
the Panhandles. Some upslope convection across NM may bring an
isolated thunderstorms to the far western Panhandles as we go into
early next week but confidence is low at this time. Temperatures will
be above average throughout the weekend into next week with high
temperatures will range from the mid 90s to near triple digits.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFs - On and off showers and thunderstorms will impact the TAF
sites through the afternoon and evening hours. Have the best timing
in there for now, but it will likely change as confidence is low in
the persistence and scattered nature of coverage. Winds will
generally favor an easterly to southeasterly direction and less than
15kts outside of convection. Medium to high confidence that VFR
conditions will continue through tomorrow afternoon outside of
convection too, although KGUY could see some MVFR cigs/vsbys early
Saturday morning.

Elsenheimer

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                68  95  69  96  70 /  40  20  10  10   5
Beaver OK                  67  97  72 100  73 /  30  20  10   5   5
Boise City OK              63  95  67  96  67 /  30  20  20  10  10
Borger TX                  70  97  74  99  74 /  40  20  10  10   5
Boys Ranch TX              68  98  70  99  70 /  30  20  20  10   5
Canyon TX                  67  96  68  96  69 /  30  20  10   5   5
Clarendon TX               70  96  70  96  70 /  40  20  10  10   5
Dalhart TX                 65  97  66  98  67 /  30  20  20  10  10
Guymon OK                  67  97  69  99  70 /  30  20  10   5  10
Hereford TX                66  96  68  97  68 /  30  20  10  10   5
Lipscomb TX                69  95  72  98  72 /  30  20  10   5   5
Pampa TX                   67  94  70  95  71 /  40  20  10  10   5
Shamrock TX                70  96  72  97  71 /  40  20  10   5   5
Wellington TX              70  98  72  99  72 /  40  20  10   5   5

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

18/29



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