Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 290905 CCA
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
404 AM CDT FRI AUG 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER TROUGH EXITING THE PANHANDLES THIS MORNING AND ALL CONVECTION
HAS MOVED EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THE DEPARTING
UPPER TROUGH WILL ALLOW FOR SOME BRIEF DRYING TODAY AFTER SOME
MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND FOG THROUGH ABOUT 15Z TODAY. NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY WILL RESULT IN A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH TRACKING SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES BY
00Z SATURDAY WITH CONVECTION POSSIBLY PROPAGATING SOUTHEAST INTO THE
WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA BY 06Z SATURDAY AND ACROSS MUCH
OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY. WILL INTRODUCE SOME
LOW END SLIGHT CHANCE POPS TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY FOR THIS POSSIBLE
SCENARIO AND REMOVE POPS TODAY. SHORTWAVE RIDGING WILL TAKE PLACE
LATE THIS WEEKEND AND THEN ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH PUSHING ACROSS
THE PANHANDLES SUNDAY NIGHT. CONFIDENCE LOW ON ANY CONVECTION SUNDAY
NIGHT SO WILL LEAVE FORECAST DRY FOR NOW. THE NAM AND TO SOME EXTENT
THE ECMWF HINT AT POSSIBLE PRECIP SUNDAY NIGHT WHILE THE GFS REMAINS
DRY. ZONAL UPPER FLOW EARLY NEXT WEEK MAY ALLOW FOR ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
TROUGH TO TRACK EAST OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS STATES. THE GFS FORECASTING CONVECTION ACROSS THE EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND THE NORTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLES MONDAY NIGHT...WHILE THE
ECMWF DRY. WILL INTRODUCE SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLES MONDAY NIGHT.
OTHERWISE...DRY FORECAST EXPECTED NEXT WEEK WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                87  64  90  64  94 /  10  20  20  10   5
BEAVER OK                  91  61  95  67  97 /  10  10  20  10  10
BOISE CITY OK              87  59  90  61  94 /  10  20  20  10   5
BORGER TX                  92  68  93  68  96 /  10  20  20  10   5
BOYS RANCH TX              88  65  91  68  96 /  10  20  20  10   5
CANYON TX                  86  63  90  65  94 /  10  20  20  10   5
CLARENDON TX               89  64  92  64  95 /  10  10  20  10   5
DALHART TX                 88  59  93  60  95 /  10  20  20  10   5
GUYMON OK                  90  60  94  65  96 /  10  10  20  10  10
HEREFORD TX                86  62  91  64  95 /  10  20  20  10   5
LIPSCOMB TX                89  65  93  68  95 /  10  10  20  10   5
PAMPA TX                   88  66  91  68  93 /  10  10  20  10   5
SHAMROCK TX                88  67  93  67  95 /  10  10  20  10   5
WELLINGTON TX              92  69  95  69  96 /  10  10  20  10   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

09/11






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