Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 211944
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
244 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER FAR WEST TEXAS WILL GET
CAUGHT UP IN A DEEPER SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING EAST THROUGH THE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THESE TROUGHS WHICH
WILL PROVIDE THE STAGE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP.
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE MOST LIKELY NEAR THE NEW MEXICO STATE
LINE THIS EVENING...BUT THEY SHOULD SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE
PANHANDLES WITH TIME. THE RAIN SHOULD COME TO END ACROSS THE
EASTERN PANHANDLES LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE OPEN WAVE MOVES EAST
OF THE REGION.

THE UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL REMAIN FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE THROUGH THE
REST OF THIS WEEK INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
TRAVERSE THE PANHANDLES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WHICH WILL HELP TO WARM
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. ANOTHER FAST SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL
BE MOVING THROUGH THE ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS BY LATE IN THIS
FORECAST. THE MODELS DO NOT AGREE ON THE STRENGTH OR TRACK OF THIS
FEATURE...SO WILL WAIT ON THE IDEA OF ADDING SOME PRECIP TO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                53  70  52  77  52 /  20  40  20   5   5
BEAVER OK                  54  75  52  81  53 /  10  50  30  10   5
BOISE CITY OK              52  72  47  76  49 /  20  30  10   5   5
BORGER TX                  57  72  55  81  55 /  10  50  30  10   5
BOYS RANCH TX              54  71  51  78  50 /  20  40  20   5   5
CANYON TX                  53  70  52  77  51 /  20  40  20  10   5
CLARENDON TX               54  72  52  79  53 /  10  70  30  10   5
DALHART TX                 52  71  49  79  49 /  20  40  20   5   5
GUYMON OK                  54  74  51  79  51 /  10  30  20   5   5
HEREFORD TX                52  69  51  78  50 /  20  40  20   5   5
LIPSCOMB TX                55  74  54  80  55 /  10  60  30  10   5
PAMPA TX                   53  71  51  78  53 /  10  60  30  10   5
SHAMROCK TX                54  73  54  80  54 /  10  70  30  10   5
WELLINGTON TX              56  75  57  81  57 /  10  70  30  10   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

99/15




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