Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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429
FXUS64 KAMA 201042 AAA
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
542 AM CDT Sun Aug 20 2017

.AVIATION...
Any showers or thunderstorms this morning are expected to remain
south of the AMA TAF site. Some showers or thunderstorms may try
to move near DHT at the end of this forecast. But confidence is
not high enough to put them in this far out. Southerly winds will
pick up and get gusty by late morning at all sites. Winds will
then decrease with the setting sun. Skies are expected to remain
VFR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 405 AM CDT Sun Aug 20 2017/

DISCUSSION...
An upper low over the southwestern states today will track
northeast across the southern Rockies and approach the Panhandles
by tonight and Monday. Convection early this morning over the
Texas South Plains tracking northeast towards the southern Texas
Panhandle on southwesterly mid and upper flow. Chances for
convection expected to increase today through early this week as
upper low becomes absorbed into longwave trough moving eastward
across the Rockies and Plains states.

Cold front expected to push across the forecast area by Tuesday
afternoon and evening. Brief drying expected around mid week as
upper high builds in over the southwestern states and southern
Rockies and upper flow transitions from southwesterly to
northwesterly during the latter half of the week. Northwesterly
flow becomes active by Thursday night and Friday as a series of
shortwave troughs track east and southeast across the forecast
area. Convection developing over the mountains and higher terrain
of northern New Mexico and southern Colorado will propagate into
the Panhandles during the afternoon and overnight hours late this
week and into the upcoming weekend.

Schneider

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

15/11



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