Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 180842
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
242 AM CST THU DEC 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE THAT BROUGHT US SOME LIGHT RAIN TO MAINLY
AND NORTHERN AND EASTERN PARTS OF THE CWA WAS MOVING NORTHEAST
AWAY FROM THE PANHANDLES EARLY THIS MORNING. A WEAK COLD FRONT
WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION BEHIND THIS
SHORT WAVE THIS MORNING...BRINGING WINDS AROUND TO THE NORTH.

WINDS WILL TURN MORE TO THE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT IN RESPONSE TO THE
NEXT FAST MOVING SHORT WAVE UPPER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN STREAM ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. THIS NEXT SHORT
WAVE HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING SOME LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW TO
MAINLY THE TEXAS PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS IT MOVES ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. IT APPEARS
AGAIN THAT MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL STAY
TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR REGION. HOWEVER...THERE MAY BE JUST
ENOUGH MOISTURE AND LIFT OVER OUR AREA TO BRING SOME LIGHT RAIN
AND SNOW. ANY AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT WITH NO SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. FOG WILL LIKELY DEVELOP AGAIN TONIGHT
GIVEN THE LIGHT UPSLOPE FLOW.

THE UPPER FLOW WILL THEN TRANSITION FROM A SPLIT FLOW TO MORE OF
A RIDGE TOUGH PATTERN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE PANHANDLES WILL
COME UNDER A NORTHWEST FLOW...WHICH WILL KEEP THE AREA MAINLY
DRY. THERE MAY BE SOME RIPPLES IN THIS FLOW WHICH COULD BRING US
AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW...BUT THE CHANCES ARE TOO
REMOTE TO MENTION AT THIS TIME.

TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY MODERATE THIS WEEKEND TO ABOVE NORMAL
WITH MONDAY BEING THE WARMEST DAY. THEN TEMPERATURES WILL FALL
BACK TO AROUND NORMAL FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                45  31  44  28  53 /   0  30  20   5   0
BEAVER OK                  41  29  46  27  53 /  10  10  10   5   0
BOISE CITY OK              43  25  47  24  50 /   5  10  10   5   0
BORGER TX                  47  32  47  30  54 /   5  20  20   5   0
BOYS RANCH TX              49  31  47  28  54 /   5  30  20   5   0
CANYON TX                  47  32  46  26  55 /   5  30  20   0   0
CLARENDON TX               48  33  46  31  52 /   0  30  20   5   5
DALHART TX                 47  27  47  22  51 /   5  20  10   5   0
GUYMON OK                  43  28  47  26  53 /  10  10  10   5   0
HEREFORD TX                50  31  48  26  55 /   5  30  20   0   0
LIPSCOMB TX                43  28  46  28  52 /  10  10  20   5   0
PAMPA TX                   44  30  44  30  52 /   5  20  20   5   5
SHAMROCK TX                45  32  45  31  51 /   5  20  20   5   5
WELLINGTON TX              47  34  46  32  52 /   0  30  20   5   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

14/15




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